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Annapolis Area Christ. Eagles (4-10)

Region: MD IAAM B

State: MD

Coach: Kelly Henderson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	MERCY, MD (5-12)	MD IAAM A	86.4		L	3-	9		-0.100
3/20	at Inst. of Notre Dame (5-11)	MD IAAM B	79.3	7	L	8-	14		-0.225
3/22	FRIENDS SCHOOL (10-4)	MD IAAM B	89.2	1	L	5-	15		0.000
3/26	at Chapelgate Christian (4-8)	MD IAAM B	79.4	6		-
3/28	ST. JOHN'S COLLEGE, DC (2-11)	DC WCAC	73.5		W	16-	4		0.075
4/10	GLENELG COUNTRY SCHOOL (7-7)	MD IAAM B	80.2	5	L	8-	12		-0.225
4/12	at Oldfields School (3-9)	MD IAAM B	79.2	8	W	11-	10	2ot	0.300
4/19	INST. OF NOTRE DAME (5-11)	MD IAAM B	79.3	7	W	9-	8		0.225
4/20	at St. Timothy's (12-6)	MD IAAM B	83.6	4	L	8-	13		-0.075
4/23	at Friends School (10-4)	MD IAAM B	89.2	1	L	3-	16		0.000
4/26	at Garrison Forest (15-2)	MD IAAM B	89.1	2	L	5-	17		0.000
4/28	CHAPELGATE CHRISTIAN (4-8)	MD IAAM B	79.4	6	L	8-	12		-0.225
4/30	PARK SCHOOL (11-4)	MD IAAM B	86.0	3	L	6-	9		-0.050
5/01	at St. John's College, DC (2-11)	DC WCAC	73.5		W	11-	7		0.150
5/08	at Park School (11-4)	MD IAAM B	86.0	3	L	1-	12		0.000
			82.6						-0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	H	Mercy, MD	3-	9	-6	-6		-1.03		0.13
3/20	A	Inst. of Notre Dame	8-	14	-6	-1	––	1.20	-4.61
3/22	H	Friends School	5-	15	-10	-11		-1.20	0.55
3/28	H	St. John's College, DC	16-	4	12	7	++	-1.33		4.95
4/10	H	Glenelg Country School	8-	12	-4	-1	–	-1.20	-2.94
4/12	A	Oldfields School	11-	10	1	-2	+	1.20	2.82
4/19	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	9-	8	1	1		-1.20	0.00
4/20	A	St. Timothy's	8-	13	-5	-7	+	1.20	2.02
4/23	A	Friends School	3-	16	-13	-13		1.20	-0.06
4/26	A	Garrison Forest	5-	17	-12	-13		1.20	1.25
4/28	H	Chapelgate Christian	8-	12	-4	-1	–	-1.20	-3.47
4/30	H	Park School	6-	9	-3	-8	++	-1.20	5.02
5/01	A	St. John's College, DC	11-	7	4	4		1.33		-0.38
5/08	A	Park School	1-	12	-11	-10		1.20	-0.58
									0.00	4.70

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	Friends School	5-	15	-0.55
3/28	H	St. John's College, DC	16-	4	-2.00
4/23	A	Friends School	3-	16	0.06
4/26	A	Garrison Forest	5-	17	-1.25
5/08	A	Park School	1-	12	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	458
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.20		Natl Power Rank	458
Natl SOS Rating	76.41		Natl SOS Rank	162
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1121
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1431
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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