| Region: MA West D1 | State: MA | Coach: Carla Warner |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/03 | H | West Springfield, MA | 15- | 2 | 13 | 12 | | -1.16 | 1.39 | |
4/05 | H | Westfield HS, MA | 17- | 8 | 9 | 7 | | -1.16 | 1.74 | |
4/11 | H | South Hadley | 10- | 11 | -1 | 2 | – | -1.16 | -3.05 | |
4/19 | A | Westfield HS, MA | 15- | 2 | 13 | 5 | +++ | 1.16 | 8.07 | |
4/24 | A | Longmeadow | 3- | 16 | -13 | -11 | – | 1.16 | -2.43 | |
4/26 | A | South Hadley | 14- | 11 | 3 | 0 | + | 1.16 | 3.27 | |
4/30 | H | Northampton | 15- | 10 | 5 | 5 | | -1.16 | 0.06 | |
5/03 | H | Minnechaug | 12- | 10 | 2 | 2 | | -1.16 | -0.41 | |
5/04 | A | Suffield Academy | 11- | 9 | 2 | 3 | | 1.25 | | -0.84 |
5/08 | H | Amherst-Pelham | 12- | 9 | 3 | 5 | | -1.16 | -1.55 | |
5/09 | A | Cathedral, MA | 17- | 2 | 15 | 12 | + | 1.16 | 3.31 | |
5/10 | H | East Longmeadow | 18- | 8 | 10 | 8 | | -1.16 | 1.93 | |
5/12 | H | King Philip | 2- | 9 | -7 | -1 | –– | -1.16 | -5.82 | |
5/14 | A | Cathedral, MA | 14- | 3 | 11 | 12 | | 1.16 | -0.69 | |
5/17 | A | West Springfield, MA | 18- | 5 | 13 | 9 | + | 1.16 | 3.72 | |
5/18 | H | Longmeadow | 4- | 15 | -11 | -8 | – | -1.16 | -2.76 | |
5/22 | A | Minnechaug | 5- | 11 | -6 | 0 | ––– | 1.16 | -6.09 | |
5/24 | A | Amherst-Pelham | 3- | 7 | -4 | 2 | ––– | 1.16 | -6.23 | |
5/29 | A | East Longmeadow | 16- | 4 | 12 | 6 | +++ | 1.16 | 6.26 | |
5/31 | A | Northampton | 12- | 11 | 1 | 3 | | 1.16 | -1.62 | |
6/05 | H | Northampton | 19- | 12 | 7 | 5 | + | -1.16 | 2.06 | |
6/07 | A | South Hadley | 16- | 13 | 3 | 0 | + | 1.16 | 3.27 | |
6/09 | A | Longmeadow | 4- | 19 | -15 | -11 | –– | 1.16 | -4.43 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -0.84 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/03 | H | West Springfield, MA | 15- | 2 | -1.39 |
4/19 | A | Westfield HS, MA | 15- | 2 | -3.00 |
4/24 | A | Longmeadow | 3- | 16 | 2.43 |
5/09 | A | Cathedral, MA | 17- | 2 | -3.31 |
5/10 | H | East Longmeadow | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
5/14 | A | Cathedral, MA | 14- | 3 | 0.69 |
5/17 | A | West Springfield, MA | 18- | 5 | -3.00 |
5/18 | H | Longmeadow | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
5/29 | A | East Longmeadow | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
6/09 | A | Longmeadow | 4- | 19 | 4.43 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.18 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 260 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 82.46 | | Natl Power Rank | 260 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 71.17 | | Natl SOS Rank | 361 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.67 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 293 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.70 | | W-L Pct Rank | 450 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.7 |
|
