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Robbinsdale Armstrong Falcons (10-4)

Region: MN MSHSL

State: MN

Coach: Bill Moir

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/17	HOLY ANGELS ACAD., MN (5-8)	MN MSHSL	65.5		W	6-	0		0.100
4/20	at Robbinsdale Cooper (0-7)	MN MSHSL	62.0		W	13-	0		0.050
4/23	at Lakeville Co-op (3-8)	MN MSHSL	63.7		W	11-	2		0.075
4/25	BLAKE SCHOOL, MN (15-1)	MN MSHSL	79.7	2	L	3-	8		-0.125
4/26	BLOOMINGTON JEFFERSON (4-9)	MN MSHSL	63.5		W	6-	1		0.050
4/27	at Chaska (3-9)	MN MSHSL	64.0		W	7-	2		0.100
4/28	TOTINO-GRACE (2-4)	MN MSHSL	69.2		W	8-	5		0.150
5/01	at Minnetonka (12-3)	MN MSHSL	73.3	5	L	7-	8		-0.250
5/04	ST. CLOUD TECH-APOLLO (6-5)	MN MSHSL	69.4	9	W	8-	5		0.175
5/05	EDINA (12-9)	MN NSLA-S	70.0		L	5-	8		-0.350
5/07	WAYZATA (5-7)	MN MSHSL	68.6		W	9-	3		0.150
5/08	at Hopkins, MN (7-7)	MN MSHSL	69.2	10	W	5-	2		0.175
5/16	CHASKA (3-9)	MN MSHSL	64.0		W	8-	2		0.075
5/17	vs. Minnetonka # (12-3)	MN MSHSL	73.3	5	L	8-	9		-0.250
# Neutral site			71.3						0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/17	H	Holy Angels Acad., MN	6-	0	6	6		-0.34	0.05
4/20	A	Robbinsdale Cooper	13-	0	13	8	++	0.34	5.13
4/23	A	Lakeville Co-op	11-	2	9	7	+	0.34	2.16
4/25	H	Blake School, MN	3-	8	-5	-5		-0.34	-0.46
4/26	H	Bloomington Jefferson	6-	1	5	8	–	-0.34	-2.99
4/27	A	Chaska	7-	2	5	6		0.34	-1.30
4/28	H	Totino-Grace	8-	5	3	4		-0.34	-0.95
5/01	A	Minnetonka	7-	8	-1	0		0.34	-1.07
5/04	H	St. Cloud Tech-Apollo	8-	5	3	3		-0.34	-0.49
5/05	H	Edina	5-	8	-3	4	–––	-0.17		-6.56
5/07	H	Wayzata	9-	3	6	4	+	-0.34	2.44
5/08	A	Hopkins, MN	5-	2	3	3		0.34	-0.14
5/16	H	Chaska	8-	2	6	7		-0.34	-0.97
5/17	N	Minnetonka	8-	9	-1	0		0.00	-1.41
									0.00	-6.56

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	A	Robbinsdale Cooper	13-	0	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	949
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.39		Natl Power Rank	949
Natl SOS Rating	57.21		Natl SOS Rank	1322
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	806
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	400
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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