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Arundel Lady Wildcats (7-5)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: L. Shuck-Gibbs

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	SEVERNA PARK (20-0)	MD 3A	96.3	2	L	6-	16		-0.025
3/23	CHESAPEAKE, AA COUNTY (10-8)	MD 4A	79.8		W	10-	9		0.200
3/27	ANNAPOLIS (8-7)	MD 3A	81.0		W	12-	9		0.225
3/30	at Old Mill (8-8)	MD 4A	76.0		W	16-	9		0.150
4/05	vs. C. Milton Wright # (8-9)	MD 3A	81.0		L	10-	12		-0.250
4/07	EASTON (6-7)	MD 2A	74.7			-
4/10	NORTHEAST (2-11)	MD 3A	69.5		W	13-	2		0.000
4/12	RIVER HILL (7-6)	MD 3A	79.0		W	14-	10		0.150
4/17	at Meade (0-12)	MD 4A	64.7		W	16-	3		0.000
4/20	at Broadneck (13-3)	MD 4A	89.7	6	L	6-	11		-0.075
4/24	at North County (2-11)	MD 4A	66.9			-
4/27	SOUTH RIVER (11-4)	MD 4A	86.0	10	L	5-	13		-0.200
5/01	at Glen Burnie (3-9)	MD 4A	70.1		W	19-	4		0.000
5/03	at Southern, Anne Arundel (5-9)	MD 2A	74.9			-
5/10	at South River (11-4)	MD 4A	86.0	10	L	8-	13		-0.125
# Neutral site			81.5						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	Severna Park	6-	16	-10	-9		-1.20	-0.62
3/23	H	Chesapeake, AA County	10-	9	1	2		-1.20	-0.92
3/27	H	Annapolis	12-	9	3	1	+	-1.20	2.06
3/30	A	Old Mill	16-	9	7	4	+	1.20	3.11
4/05	N	C. Milton Wright	10-	12	-2	0		0.00	-1.53
4/10	H	Northeast	13-	2	11	12		-1.20	-0.99
4/12	H	River Hill	14-	10	4	4		-1.20	-0.06
4/17	A	Meade	16-	3	13	14		1.20	-1.45
4/20	A	Broadneck	6-	11	-5	-7	+	1.20	2.01
4/27	H	South River	5-	13	-8	-2	––	-1.20	-5.54
5/01	A	Glen Burnie	19-	4	15	11	++	1.20	4.05
5/10	A	South River	8-	13	-5	-5		1.20	-0.14
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	H	Severna Park	6-	16	0.00
4/10	H	Northeast	13-	2	0.99
4/17	A	Meade	16-	3	1.45
5/01	A	Glen Burnie	19-	4	-4.05
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	346
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.93		Natl Power Rank	346
Natl SOS Rating	75.40		Natl SOS Rank	191
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	925
W-L Pct Rating	0.58		W-L Pct Rank	725
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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