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Atholton Raiders (5-7)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Beth Mazanec

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Wilde Lake (3-11)	MD 3A	69.8		W	9-	8		0.200
3/24	FRANKLIN REGIONAL, MD (6-6)	MD 3A	77.4		L	4-	13		-0.200
3/27	MARRIOTTS RIDGE (9-7)	MD 1A	77.5		L	10-	14		-0.175
3/30	at Mt. Hebron (19-1)	MD 3A	98.9	1	L	0-	23		0.000
4/10	at River Hill (7-6)	MD 3A	79.0		L	7-	11		-0.100
4/12	HAMMOND (5-7)	MD 2A	72.8		W	8-	6		0.200
4/17	LONG REACH (1-10)	MD 3A	64.2		W	16-	7		0.000
4/20	GLENELG HS (15-3)	MD 2A	90.3	5	L	5-	22		0.000
4/24	at Centennial, MD (10-5)	MD 3A	85.5		L	7-	15		0.000
4/26	at Howard (4-10)	MD 2A	69.3		W	18-	11		0.150
5/04	WILDE LAKE (3-11)	MD 3A	69.8		W	15-	5		0.125
5/12	at Centennial, MD (10-5)	MD 3A	85.5		L	4-	16		0.000
			81.4						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Wilde Lake	9-	8	1	2		1.20	-1.21
3/24	H	Franklin Regional, MD	4-	13	-9	-2	–––	-1.20	-6.88
3/27	H	Marriotts Ridge	10-	14	-4	-3		-1.20	-0.84
3/30	A	Mt. Hebron	0-	23	-23	-23		1.20	-0.39
4/10	A	River Hill	7-	11	-4	-6		1.20	1.67
4/12	H	Hammond	8-	6	2	2		-1.20	-0.38
4/17	H	Long Reach	16-	7	9	10		-1.20	-1.02
4/20	H	Glenelg HS	5-	22	-17	-14	–	-1.20	-3.22
4/24	A	Centennial, MD	7-	15	-8	-12	++	1.20	4.02
4/26	A	Howard	18-	11	7	4	+	1.20	2.84
5/04	H	Wilde Lake	15-	5	10	5	++	-1.20	5.39
5/12	A	Centennial, MD	4-	16	-12	-12		1.20	0.02
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/30	A	Mt. Hebron	0-	23	0.39
4/20	H	Glenelg HS	5-	22	3.22
5/04	H	Wilde Lake	15-	5	0.00
5/12	A	Centennial, MD	4-	16	-0.02
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	924
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.72		Natl Power Rank	924
Natl SOS Rating	75.09		Natl SOS Rank	198
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	729
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1144
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-20.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-20.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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