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Averill Park Warriors (8-9)

Conference: ARegion: NY B Sec 2State: NYCoach: Scott Reynolds

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/03NISKAYUNA (12-7)NY B Sec 284.84L4-13 -0.050  
4/09GUILDERLAND (17-3)NY A Sec 288.41L9-17 0.000  
4/11COLUMBIA, NY (6-5)NY A Sec 279.76L2- 8 -0.175  
4/13BURNT HILLS-BALLSTON L (2-11)NY B Sec 274.1W18- 5 0.000  
4/19at Ballston Spa (0-12)NY A Sec 272.5W18- 5 0.050  
4/20BETHLEHEM (10-5)NY A Sec 286.32L2-15 0.000  
4/24at Niskayuna (12-7)NY B Sec 284.84L1-14 0.000  
4/26COLONIE (3-11)NY A Sec 276.1W8- 3 0.125  
4/28SHAKER (13-6)NY A Sec 285.03L6-19 -0.050  
4/30at Saratoga Springs (10-6)NY A Sec 284.05L4-16 -0.025  
5/01at Columbia, NY (6-5)NY A Sec 279.76W12- 5 0.375  
5/03at Shenendehowa (4-10)NY A Sec 277.69L4- 8 -0.150  
5/04at Colonie (3-11)NY A Sec 276.1W9- 4 0.150  
5/07at Burnt Hills-Ballston L (2-11)NY B Sec 274.1W12- 7 0.050  
5/08SCHENECTADY (2-4)NY A Sec 275.3W16- 7 0.025  
5/10BALLSTON SPA (0-12)NY A Sec 272.5W17- 5 0.000  
5/31vs. Niskayuna # (12-7)NY B Sec 284.84L5-20 -0.025  
# Neutral site 77.4     0.30  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/03HNiskayuna4-13-9   -8       -0.78       -0.72
4/09HGuilderland9-17-8   -12       +-0.78       3.58
4/11HColumbia, NY2-8-6   -3       –-0.78       -2.87
4/13HBurnt Hills-Ballston L18-513   10       +-0.78       3.32
4/19ABallston Spa18-513   8       ++0.78       4.53
4/20HBethlehem2-15-13   -10       –-0.78       -2.57
4/24ANiskayuna1-14-13   -10       –0.78       -3.15
4/26HColonie8-35   5       -0.78       -0.32
4/28HShaker6-19-13   -8       ––-0.78       -4.65
4/30ASaratoga Springs4-16-12   -9       –0.78       -2.95
5/01AColumbia, NY12-57   -5       +++0.78       11.70
5/03AShenendehowa4-8-4   -4       0.78       0.05
5/04AColonie9-45   4       0.78       1.25
5/07ABurnt Hills-Ballston L12-75   8       –0.78       -3.11
5/08HSchenectady16-79   9       -0.78       -0.11
5/10HBallston Spa17-512   10       -0.78       1.96
5/31NNiskayuna5-20-15   -9       ––0.00       -5.93
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/13HBurnt Hills-Ballston L18-5-3.32
4/19ABallston Spa18-5-3.00
4/20HBethlehem2-153.00
4/24ANiskayuna1-143.00
4/28HShaker6-193.00
4/30ASaratoga Springs4-162.00
5/10HBallston Spa17-5-1.96
5/31NNiskayuna5-205.00
10-goal correction: 0.45

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 77.   Natl CCR Rank 619
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 77.30   Natl Power Rank 619
Natl SOS Rating 67.84   Natl SOS Rank 552
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.30   Natl Quality Win Rank 614
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1004
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.9
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-9   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 8-9   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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