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Avon Falcons (11-6)

Region: CT Div 1State: CTCoach: Laura Campbell

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/10SIMSBURY (6-9)CT Div 179.3L7-12 -0.250  
4/24at Granby Memorial (7-8)CT Div 171.6W18- 6 0.025  
4/25ELLINGTON (2-13)CT Div 267.5W18- 2 0.000  
4/28NEWTOWN (16-3)CT Div 184.55L9-21 -0.150  
5/01at Suffield HS (7-8)CT Div 274.2W16- 4 0.075  
5/02SOMERS, CT (11-8)CT Div 177.8W8- 5 0.175  
5/04at Farmington (9-7)CT Div 274.4W11- 5 0.075  
5/08at Glastonbury (13-6)CT Div 183.76L3-12 -0.100  
5/12at Mercy, CT (7-10)CT Div 177.2W17-16 0.200  
5/15GRANBY MEMORIAL (7-8)CT Div 171.6W16- 5 0.000  
5/17at Ellington (2-13)CT Div 267.5W19- 4 0.000  
5/21SUFFIELD HS (7-8)CT Div 274.2W16- 5 0.050  
5/22HALL, WEST HARTFORD (10-5)CT Div 182.0L11-14 -0.200  
5/24at Somers, CT (11-8)CT Div 177.8L9-12 -0.300  
5/25SOUTHINGTON (6-8)CT Div 178.1W26-18 0.200  
5/29at Somers, CT (11-8)CT Div 177.8W13-10 0.200  
6/01BRANFORD (12-8)CT Div 181.1L11-12 -0.225  
 73.6     -0.23  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/10HSimsbury7-12-5   0       ––-0.72       -4.75
4/24AGranby Memorial18-612   9       +0.72       2.76
4/25HEllington18-216   13       +-0.72       2.56
4/28HNewtown9-21-12   -4       –––-0.72       -7.92
5/01ASuffield HS16-412   7       ++0.72       4.99
5/02HSomers, CT8-53   3       -0.72       -0.08
5/04AFarmington11-56   7       0.72       -1.12
5/08AGlastonbury3-12-9   -6       –0.72       -3.50
5/12AMercy, CT17-161   2       0.72       -0.78
5/15HGranby Memorial16-511   11       -0.72       0.31
5/17AEllington19-415   12       +0.72       3.00
5/21HSuffield HS16-511   8       +-0.72       2.55
5/22HHall, West Hartford11-14-3   -2       -0.72       -0.71
5/24ASomers, CT9-12-3   2       ––0.72       -4.64
5/25HSouthington26-188   2       ++-0.72       5.83
5/29ASomers, CT13-103   2       0.72       1.36
6/01HBranford11-12-1   -1       -0.72       0.13
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/24AGranby Memorial18-6-2.00
4/25HEllington18-2-2.56
4/28HNewtown9-212.00
5/01ASuffield HS16-4-2.00
5/15HGranby Memorial16-5-0.31
5/17AEllington19-4-3.00
5/21HSuffield HS16-5-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 79.   Natl CCR Rank 427
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 79.45   Natl Power Rank 427
Natl SOS Rating 61.11   Natl SOS Rank 969
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.23   Natl Quality Win Rank 1408
W-L Pct Rating 0.65   W-L Pct Rank 550
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -10.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.3



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