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Bethesda-Chevy Chase Barons (9-4)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Claire Wagner

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	SPRINGBROOK (8-5)	MD 4A	70.9		L	8-	9		-0.325
3/24	CHURCHILL (3-9)	MD 4A	68.0		W	15-	8		0.125
3/27	at Walt Whitman, MD (6-9)	MD 4A	69.1		L	11-	12		-0.300
4/11	ROCKVILLE (10-3)	MD 2A	71.8		W	12-	9		0.200
4/13	at Wheaton (3-6)	MD 3A	59.6		W	16-	0		0.000
4/16	EINSTEIN (1-3)	MD 3A	64.5		W	15-	7		0.025
4/19	at Poolesville (13-1)	MD 1A	76.8		L	12-	18		-0.125
4/24	NORTHWOOD, MD (0-4)	MD	53.4		W	22-	2		0.000
4/27	at Seneca Valley, MD (1-7)	MD 3A	62.1		W	19-	5		0.025
5/02	at Clarksburg ( -)				W	16-	4
5/04	at Walter Johnson (0-8)	MD 4A	67.0		W	13-	8		0.200
5/07	WATKINS MILL (0-9)	MD 4A	62.5		W	13-	3		0.025
5/12	SPRINGBROOK (8-5)	MD 4A	70.9		L	11-	14		-0.325
			68.8						-0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	Springbrook	8-	9	-1	3	–	-1.20	-3.68
3/24	H	Churchill	15-	8	7	5	+	-1.20	2.30
3/27	A	Walt Whitman, MD	11-	12	-1	2	–	1.20	-3.32
4/11	H	Rockville	12-	9	3	2		-1.20	1.43
4/13	A	Wheaton	16-	0	16	13	+	1.20	2.80
4/16	H	Einstein	15-	7	8	9		-1.20	-0.65
4/19	A	Poolesville	12-	18	-6	-5		1.20	-1.40
4/24	H	Northwood, MD	22-	2	20	21		-1.20	-0.61
4/27	A	Seneca Valley, MD	19-	5	14	9	++	1.20	5.47
5/04	A	Walter Johnson	13-	8	5	2	+	1.20	2.74
5/07	H	Watkins Mill	13-	3	10	9		-1.20	0.60
5/12	H	Springbrook	11-	14	-3	3	––	-1.20	-5.68
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/13	A	Wheaton	16-	0	-2.80
4/24	H	Northwood, MD	22-	2	0.61
4/27	A	Seneca Valley, MD	19-	5	-4.00
5/07	H	Watkins Mill	13-	3	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	1059
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.87		Natl Power Rank	1059
Natl SOS Rating	53.92		Natl SOS Rank	1623
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	1705
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	455
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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