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Blake, MD Bengals (14-2)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Christine Denny

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	at Seneca Valley, MD (1-7)	MD 3A	62.1		W	17-	3		0.000
3/24	QUINCE ORCHARD (9-3)	MD 4A	73.1		W	12-	10		0.175
3/27	at Wootton (11-3)	MD 4A	73.6		L	5-	9		-0.250
3/29	at Montgomery Blair, MD (6-8)	MD 4A	66.6		W	12-	3		0.050
4/11	GAITHERSBURG (8-6)	MD 4A	69.3		W	17-	5		0.050
4/14	at Sherwood, MD (12-5)	MD 4A	73.2		W	9-	8		0.250
4/20	DAMASCUS (6-6)	MD 4A	71.4		W	15-	11		0.150
4/23	at Springbrook (8-5)	MD 4A	70.9		W	6-	4		0.175
4/25	MAGRUDER (4-6)	MD 4A	67.5		W	16-	6		0.025
5/01	at John F. Kennedy, MD (1-9)	MD 3A	58.8		W	17-	6		0.000
5/03	PAINT BRANCH (2-8)	MD 3A	64.1		W	18-	5		0.000
5/07	CLARKSBURG ( -)				W	18-	0
5/12	MONTGOMERY BLAIR, MD (6-8)	MD 4A	66.6		W	14-	7		0.000
5/14	SPRINGBROOK (8-5)	MD 4A	70.9		W	9-	4		0.125
5/16	SHERWOOD, MD (12-5)	MD 4A	73.2		W	11-	9		0.175
5/18	vs. Dulaney # (13-3)	MD 4A	90.5	4	L	5-	17		0.000
# Neutral site			72.3						0.93

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	A	Seneca Valley, MD	17-	3	14	11	+	1.20	2.82
3/24	H	Quince Orchard	12-	10	2	3		-1.20	-1.19
3/27	A	Wootton	5-	9	-4	0	––	1.20	-4.18
3/29	A	Montgomery Blair, MD	12-	3	9	8		1.20	1.50
4/11	H	Gaithersburg	17-	5	12	8	++	-1.20	4.27
4/14	A	Sherwood, MD	9-	8	1	0		1.20	0.67
4/20	H	Damascus	15-	11	4	4		-1.20	-0.05
4/23	A	Springbrook	6-	4	2	3		1.20	-0.94
4/25	H	Magruder	16-	6	10	9		-1.20	1.20
5/01	A	John F. Kennedy, MD	17-	6	11	15	–	1.20	-3.60
5/03	H	Paint Branch	18-	5	13	12		-1.20	1.38
5/12	H	Montgomery Blair, MD	14-	7	7	10	–	-1.20	-2.90
5/14	H	Springbrook	9-	4	5	5		-1.20	-0.34
5/16	H	Sherwood, MD	11-	9	2	3		-1.20	-0.73
5/18	N	Dulaney	5-	17	-12	-14	+	0.00	2.08
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	A	Seneca Valley, MD	17-	3	-2.82
4/11	H	Gaithersburg	17-	5	-2.00
4/25	H	Magruder	16-	6	0.00
5/01	A	John F. Kennedy, MD	17-	6	3.60
5/03	H	Paint Branch	18-	5	-1.38
5/18	N	Dulaney	5-	17	-2.08
10-goal correction: -0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	825
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.08		Natl Power Rank	825
Natl SOS Rating	59.45		Natl SOS Rank	1117
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.93		Natl Quality Win Rank	162
W-L Pct Rating	0.88		W-L Pct Rank	105
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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