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Bow Falcons (16-2)

Region: NH D2

State: NH

Coach: Christiane Raabe

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	BISHOP BRADY (5-9)	NH D2	66.7		W	13-	5		0.025
4/28	EXETER AREA HS (4-12)	NH D1	66.0		W	15-	9		0.025
4/30	BISHOP GUERTIN (5-8)	NH D2	67.4		W	15-	4		0.050
5/02	at Spaulding, NH (0-11)	NH D2	53.0		W	18-	0		0.000
5/04	GOFFSTOWN (2-9)	NH D2	58.5		W	18-	3		0.000
5/05	at Nashua South (16-5)	NH D1	82.4	5	L	11-	12		-0.225
5/07	CONVAL (9-5)	NH D2	70.8		W	15-	9		0.100
5/09	at Dover, NH (2-9)	NH D2	60.7		W	14-	4		0.000
5/11	at Hanover, NH (15-2)	NH D2	82.5	4	L	11-	16		-0.250
5/14	TIMBERLANE (4-10)	NH D2	66.5		W	13-	7		0.025
5/16	at Bishop Brady (5-9)	NH D2	66.7		W	13-	6		0.075
5/17	at Lebanon, NH (11-4)	NH D2	76.3	9	W	11-	10		0.175
5/21	WINNACUNNET (12-5)	NH D2	75.6	10	W	16-	4		0.125
5/22	at Merrimack (2-11)	NH D2	58.7		W	17-	2		0.000
5/24	at Winnacunnet (12-5)	NH D2	75.6	10	W	12-	10		0.175
5/31	TIMBERLANE (4-10)	NH D2	66.5		W	20-	5		0.025
6/03	vs. Winnacunnet # (12-5)	NH D2	75.6	10	W	7-	3		0.150
6/06	vs. Hanover, NH # (15-2)	NH D2	82.5	4	W	17-	16		0.250
# Neutral site			75.7						0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	H	Bishop Brady	13-	5	8	9		-0.84	-0.57
4/28	H	Exeter Area HS	15-	9	6	9	–	-0.84	-2.85
4/30	H	Bishop Guertin	15-	4	11	8	+	-0.84	3.16
5/02	A	Spaulding, NH	18-	0	18	19		0.84	-0.57
5/04	H	Goffstown	18-	3	15	16		-0.84	-0.99
5/05	A	Nashua South	11-	12	-1	-1		0.84	0.01
5/07	H	ConVal	15-	9	6	6		-0.84	-0.03
5/09	A	Dover, NH	14-	4	10	12	–	0.84	-2.26
5/11	A	Hanover, NH	11-	16	-5	0	––	0.84	-4.61
5/14	H	Timberlane	13-	7	6	9	–	-0.84	-2.64
5/16	A	Bishop Brady	13-	6	7	7		0.84	0.12
5/17	A	Lebanon, NH	11-	10	1	3		0.84	-1.70
5/21	H	Winnacunnet	16-	4	12	5	+++	-0.84	7.01
5/22	A	Merrimack	17-	2	15	15		0.84	0.49
5/24	A	Winnacunnet	12-	10	2	3		0.84	-1.31
5/31	H	Timberlane	20-	5	15	9	+++	-0.84	6.36
6/03	N	Winnacunnet	7-	3	4	4		0.00	-0.15
6/06	N	Hanover, NH	17-	16	1	0		0.00	0.54
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/30	H	Bishop Guertin	15-	4	-1.00
5/02	A	Spaulding, NH	18-	0	0.57
5/04	H	Goffstown	18-	3	0.99
5/09	A	Dover, NH	14-	4	2.26
5/21	H	Winnacunnet	16-	4	-2.00
5/22	A	Merrimack	17-	2	-0.49
5/31	H	Timberlane	20-	5	-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	255
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.58		Natl Power Rank	255
Natl SOS Rating	64.38		Natl SOS Rank	741
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	259
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	91
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7


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