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Branford Hornets (12-8 - 1)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Jason Dittert

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at West Haven (7-9)	CT Div 2	75.3		W	6-	4		0.075
4/14	at Glastonbury (13-6)	CT Div 1	83.7	6	L	3-	9		-0.150
4/17	HAMDEN (6-10)	CT Div 1	77.2		W	12-	2		0.150
4/19	at Cheshire HS (12-6)	CT Div 1	82.7	10	T	5-	5	2ot	0.000
4/21	NEW CANAAN (12-6)	CT Div 1	83.5	7	L	5-	9		-0.200
4/23	MERCY, CT (7-10)	CT Div 1	77.2		W	10-	6		0.125
4/25	at Daniel Hand (16-4)	CT Div 1	86.2	4	L	3-	8		-0.100
4/28	SIMSBURY (6-9)	CT Div 1	79.3		L	6-	7		-0.300
4/30	SHELTON (1-14)	CT Div 2	66.1		W	17-	0		0.000
5/03	SACRED HEART, CT (3-12)	CT Div 2	70.4		W	17-	3		0.000
5/05	SOUTH WINDSOR (11-7)	CT Div 1	83.2	9	L	3-	9		-0.200
5/08	at Amity (11-8)	CT Div 2	78.9		W	7-	4		0.200
5/10	GUILFORD, CT (13-6)	CT Div 1	81.2		W	10-	9		0.225
5/12	CONARD (11-5)	CT Div 1	81.5		L	3-	7		-0.275
5/13	JOEL BARLOW (13-7)	CT Div 1	79.8		W	8-	5		0.175
5/17	EAST LYME (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	W	10-	7		0.275
5/22	HAMDEN (6-10)	CT Div 1	77.2		W	11-	5		0.150
5/24	vs. Cheshire HS # (12-6)	CT Div 1	82.7	10	W	9-	8	2ot	0.300
5/29	vs. Daniel Hand # (16-4)	CT Div 1	86.2	4	L	3-	7		-0.100
6/01	at Avon (11-6)	CT Div 1	79.4		W	12-	11		0.225
6/02	at Wilton (17-4)	CT Div 1	88.7	2	L	4-	14		0.000
# Neutral site			78.2						0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	West Haven	6-	4	2	7	––	0.72	-4.87
4/14	A	Glastonbury	3-	9	-6	-4	–	0.72	-2.35
4/17	H	Hamden	12-	2	10	4	++	-0.72	5.52
4/19	A	Cheshire HS	5-	5	0	-2	+	0.72	2.24
4/21	H	New Canaan	5-	9	-4	-2		-0.72	-1.91
4/23	H	Mercy, CT	10-	6	4	5		-0.72	-1.08
4/25	A	Daniel Hand	3-	8	-5	-6		0.72	1.34
4/28	H	Simsbury	6-	7	-1	2	–	-0.72	-2.60
4/30	H	Shelton	17-	0	17	16		-0.72	0.63
5/03	H	Sacred Heart, CT	17-	3	14	13		-0.72	1.49
5/05	H	South Windsor	3-	9	-6	-2	–	-0.72	-3.79
5/08	A	Amity	7-	4	3	2		0.72	1.01
5/10	H	Guilford, CT	10-	9	1	1		-0.72	0.02
5/12	H	Conard	3-	7	-4	1	––	-0.72	-5.18
5/13	H	Joel Barlow	8-	5	3	3		-0.72	-0.17
5/17	H	East Lyme	10-	7	3	-1	+	-0.72	3.89
5/22	H	Hamden	11-	5	6	4		-0.72	1.52
5/24	N	Cheshire HS	9-	8	1	-2	+	0.00	2.52
5/29	N	Daniel Hand	3-	7	-4	-6		0.00	1.61
6/01	A	Avon	12-	11	1	1		0.72	-0.13
6/02	A	Wilton	4-	14	-10	-10		0.72	0.30
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	Hamden	12-	2	0.00
4/30	H	Shelton	17-	0	-0.63
5/03	H	Sacred Heart, CT	17-	3	-1.49
6/02	A	Wilton	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	331
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.07		Natl Power Rank	331
Natl SOS Rating	68.74		Natl SOS Rank	490
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.57		Natl Quality Win Rank	365
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	701
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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