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Broadneck Bruins (13-3)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Karen Chesley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	SOUTHERN, ANNE ARUNDEL (5-9)	MD 2A	74.9		W	15-	4		0.000
3/23	NORTHEAST (2-11)	MD 3A	69.5		W	20-	4		0.000
3/27	at Severna Park (20-0)	MD 3A	96.3	2	L	5-	12		-0.100
3/30	at Meade (0-12)	MD 4A	64.7		W	18-	3		0.000
4/05	vs. Severn School # (12-8)	MD IAAM A	92.6		W	14-	7		0.325
4/07	JAMES MADISON (1-8)	VA Lbrty	70.0			-
4/07	vs. Towson HS # (13-5)	MD 3A	87.5	8	W	13-	12		0.225
4/10	NORTH COUNTY (2-11)	MD 4A	66.9		W	21-	5		0.000
4/17	at Glen Burnie (3-9)	MD 4A	70.1		W	22-	1		0.000
4/20	ARUNDEL (7-5)	MD 4A	80.9		W	11-	6		0.075
4/24	CHESAPEAKE, AA COUNTY (10-8)	MD 4A	79.8		W	16-	6		0.050
4/30	at Annapolis (8-7)	MD 3A	81.0		W	8-	6		0.150
5/01	at Old Mill (8-8)	MD 4A	76.0		W	16-	3		0.000
5/04	at South River (11-4)	MD 4A	86.0	10	W	14-	9		0.225
5/08	vs. Severna Park # (20-0)	MD 3A	96.3	2	L	8-	12		-0.125
5/12	SOUTH RIVER (11-4)	MD 4A	86.0	10	W	17-	12		0.175
5/14	at Severna Park (20-0)	MD 3A	96.3	2	L	5-	9		-0.100
# Neutral site			83.6						0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	Southern, Anne Arundel	15-	4	11	12		-1.20	-1.01
3/23	H	Northeast	20-	4	16	18		-1.20	-1.79
3/27	A	Severna Park	5-	12	-7	-6		1.20	-1.03
3/30	A	Meade	18-	3	15	20	––	1.20	-5.26
4/05	N	Severn School	14-	7	7	-3	+++	0.00		9.92
4/07	N	Towson HS	13-	12	1	1		0.00	0.02
4/10	H	North County	21-	5	16	21	––	-1.20	-4.82
4/17	A	Glen Burnie	22-	1	21	17	++	1.20	4.24
4/20	H	Arundel	11-	6	5	7	–	-1.20	-2.01
4/24	H	Chesapeake, AA County	16-	6	10	8	+	-1.20	2.27
4/30	A	Annapolis	8-	6	2	4	–	1.20	-2.35
5/01	A	Old Mill	16-	3	13	10	+	1.20	3.30
5/04	A	South River	14-	9	5	1	++	1.20	4.05
5/08	N	Severna Park	8-	12	-4	-5		0.00	0.77
5/12	H	South River	17-	12	5	3		-1.20	1.65
5/14	A	Severna Park	5-	9	-4	-6		1.20	1.97
									0.00	9.92

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	H	Southern, Anne Arundel	15-	4	1.01
3/23	H	Northeast	20-	4	1.79
3/30	A	Meade	18-	3	5.26
4/10	H	North County	21-	5	4.82
4/17	A	Glen Burnie	22-	1	-4.24
4/24	H	Chesapeake, AA County	16-	6	0.00
5/01	A	Old Mill	16-	3	-3.30
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	186.		Natl CCR Rank	44
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	33
Natl Power Rating	89.71		Natl Power Rank	59
Natl SOS Rating	79.57		Natl SOS Rank	103
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	166
W-L Pct Rating	0.81		W-L Pct Rank	203
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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