| Region: VA NW AA | State: VA | Coach: Jen Melhuish |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | A | Park View | 15- | 1 | 14 | 19 | –– | 1.07 | -4.68 | |
3/29 | A | Potomac Falls | 15- | 4 | 11 | 7 | ++ | 1.07 | 4.39 | |
4/09 | H | Heritage | 12- | 6 | 6 | 8 | – | -1.07 | -2.18 | |
4/12 | A | Loudoun County | 13- | 8 | 5 | 8 | – | 1.07 | -2.56 | |
4/14 | H | Monticello, VA | 11- | 6 | 5 | 13 | ––– | -1.07 | -7.97 | |
4/19 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 14- | 2 | 12 | 15 | – | -1.07 | -3.20 | |
4/21 | H | Dominion | 11- | 2 | 9 | 2 | +++ | -1.07 | 7.27 | |
4/23 | A | Loudoun Valley | 7- | 13 | -6 | -5 | | 1.07 | -1.30 | |
4/26 | H | Briar Woods | 17- | 3 | 14 | 16 | | -1.07 | -1.81 | |
4/30 | A | Liberty-Bealton, VA | 10- | 3 | 7 | 7 | | 1.07 | -0.26 | |
5/03 | A | George Mason | 11- | 3 | 8 | 8 | | 1.07 | -0.09 | |
5/10 | H | Briar Woods | 17- | 0 | 17 | 16 | | -1.07 | 1.19 | |
5/14 | N | Potomac Falls | 14- | 2 | 12 | 8 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.33 | |
5/18 | A | Dominion | 12- | 9 | 3 | 0 | + | 1.07 | 3.40 | |
5/19 | H | Salem, VA | 13- | 12 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.07 | -2.36 | |
5/23 | H | Western Albemarle | 12- | 8 | 4 | 2 | + | -1.07 | 2.37 | |
5/29 | H | Forest Park | 18- | 6 | 12 | 10 | | -1.07 | 1.70 | |
5/31 | N | Oakton | 10- | 19 | -9 | -11 | | 0.00 | 1.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/22 | A | Park View | 15- | 1 | 4.68 |
3/29 | A | Potomac Falls | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
4/19 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 14- | 2 | 3.20 |
4/26 | H | Briar Woods | 17- | 3 | 1.81 |
5/10 | H | Briar Woods | 17- | 0 | -1.19 |
5/14 | N | Potomac Falls | 14- | 2 | -2.00 |
5/29 | H | Forest Park | 18- | 6 | -1.70 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.21 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 79. | | Natl CCR Rank | 430 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 79.38 | | Natl Power Rank | 430 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 61.95 | | Natl SOS Rank | 899 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 121 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.89 | | W-L Pct Rank | 95 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.3 |
|
