| Conference: A | Region: NY A Sec 2 | State: NY | Coach: Dawn Austin |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/05 | at Shenendehowa (4-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 77.6 | 9 | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.075 |
4/09 | at Ballston Spa (0-12) | NY A Sec 2 | 72.5 | | W | 21- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/12 | at Penn Yan Academy (18-3) | NY C Sec 5 | 90.2 | | L | 6- | 7 | | -0.125 |
4/13 | at Shaker (13-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 85.0 | 3 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.275 |
4/17 | BURNT HILLS-BALLSTON L (2-11) | NY B Sec 2 | 74.1 | | W | 24- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/19 | vs. Guilderland # (17-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.4 | 1 | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.275 |
4/20 | at Averill Park (8-9) | NY B Sec 2 | 77.3 | 10 | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | SARATOGA SPRINGS (10-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 84.0 | 5 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.350 |
4/26 | SHENENDEHOWA (4-10) | NY A Sec 2 | 77.6 | 9 | W | 15- | 11 | | 0.025 |
4/28 | at Colonie (3-11) | NY A Sec 2 | 76.1 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/03 | COLUMBIA, NY (6-5) | NY A Sec 2 | 79.7 | 6 | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.050 |
5/07 | SHAKER (13-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 85.0 | 3 | W | 15- | 11 | | 0.175 |
5/09 | at Niskayuna (12-7) | NY B Sec 2 | 84.8 | 4 | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.225 |
5/11 | at Guilderland (17-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.4 | 1 | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.200 |
5/12 | FAYETTEVILLE-MANLIUS (10-9) | NY A Sec 3 | 84.5 | | | - | | | |
5/14 | at Saratoga Springs (10-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 84.0 | 5 | | - | | | |
5/23 | SHAKER (13-6) | NY A Sec 2 | 85.0 | 3 | L | 15- | 16 | ot | -0.325 |
| # Neutral site | | 81.7 | | | | | | -0.45 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | A | Shenendehowa | 13- | 5 | 8 | 7 | | 0.78 | 0.83 | |
4/09 | A | Ballston Spa | 21- | 0 | 21 | 20 | | 0.78 | 1.31 | |
4/12 | A | Penn Yan Academy | 6- | 7 | -1 | -5 | + | 0.90 | | 3.85 |
4/13 | A | Shaker | 9- | 11 | -2 | 1 | – | 0.78 | -3.29 | |
4/17 | H | Burnt Hills-Ballston L | 24- | 1 | 23 | 21 | + | -0.78 | 2.10 | |
4/19 | N | Guilderland | 9- | 6 | 3 | -1 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.15 | |
4/20 | A | Averill Park | 15- | 2 | 13 | 10 | + | 0.78 | 2.57 | |
4/24 | H | Saratoga Springs | 7- | 9 | -2 | 4 | –– | -0.78 | -5.73 | |
4/26 | H | Shenendehowa | 15- | 11 | 4 | 9 | –– | -0.78 | -4.74 | |
4/28 | A | Colonie | 16- | 2 | 14 | 15 | | 0.78 | -0.96 | |
5/03 | H | Columbia, NY | 19- | 2 | 17 | 8 | +++ | -0.78 | 8.91 | |
5/07 | H | Shaker | 15- | 11 | 4 | 3 | | -0.78 | 1.14 | |
5/09 | A | Niskayuna | 8- | 6 | 2 | 1 | | 0.78 | 0.64 | |
5/11 | A | Guilderland | 6- | 11 | -5 | -2 | – | 0.78 | -3.07 | |
5/23 | H | Shaker | 15- | 16 | -1 | 3 | – | -0.78 | -3.86 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.85 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/09 | A | Ballston Spa | 21- | 0 | -1.31 |
4/17 | H | Burnt Hills-Ballston L | 24- | 1 | -2.10 |
4/20 | A | Averill Park | 15- | 2 | -2.57 |
4/28 | A | Colonie | 16- | 2 | 0.96 |
5/03 | H | Columbia, NY | 19- | 2 | -7.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.80 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 86. | | Natl CCR Rank | 133 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 86.26 | | Natl Power Rank | 130 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 75.16 | | Natl SOS Rank | 196 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1678 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.67 | | W-L Pct Rank | 519 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 7-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 10-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 7.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.3 |
|
