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Central Bucks South Titans (4-14)

Region: PA Sub N

State: PA

Coach: Janique Craig

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Central Bucks East (12-8)	PA Sub C	83.2		L	5-	20		0.000
3/30	INTERBORO (8-10)	PA Indep	78.5		W	17-	12		0.275
4/02	at Souderton Area (6-12)	PA Sub C	78.9		W	8-	7		0.375
4/09	LANSDALE CATHOLIC (9-10)	PA PAC	78.8		L	11-	12	ot	-0.200
4/11	NESHAMINY (0-16)	PA Sub N	76.8		W	13-	11		0.175
4/13	at Pennsbury (10-8)	PA Sub N	81.5		L	4-	19		-0.050
4/18	NORTH PENN (13-6)	PA Sub N	88.8		L	4-	18		0.000
4/24	at Pennridge (9-11)	PA Sub N	79.8		L	11-	20		-0.100
4/26	COUNCIL ROCK NORTH (16-3)	PA Sub N	87.8		L	2-	16		0.000
4/30	at Neshaminy (0-16)	PA Sub N	76.8		W	13-	11		0.250
5/01	ABINGTON HS, PA (18-3)	PA Sub N	91.1	4	L	3-	19		0.000
5/02	PENNSBURY (10-8)	PA Sub N	81.5		L	7-	18		-0.100
5/08	at North Penn (13-6)	PA Sub N	88.8		L	2-	20		0.000
5/09	COUNCIL ROCK SOUTH (10-11)	PA Sub C	80.3		L	5-	12		-0.125
5/11	at Central Bucks West (16-5)	PA Sub C	82.6		L	4-	14		-0.025
5/14	PENNRIDGE (9-11)	PA Sub N	79.8		L	10-	12		-0.150
5/17	at Council Rock North (16-3)	PA Sub N	87.8		L	5-	17		0.000
5/18	at Abington HS, PA (18-3)	PA Sub N	91.1	4	L	0-	17		0.000
			82.7						0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Central Bucks East	5-	20	-15	-11	––	1.07	-4.37
3/30	H	Interboro	17-	12	5	-1	++	-1.07	5.93
4/02	A	Souderton Area	8-	7	1	-5	++	1.07	5.69
4/09	H	Lansdale Catholic	11-	12	-1	-2		-1.07	1.01
4/11	H	Neshaminy	13-	11	2	3		-1.07	-0.52
4/13	A	Pennsbury	4-	19	-15	-8	–––	1.07	-6.67
4/18	H	North Penn	4-	18	-14	-16		-1.07	1.65
4/24	A	Pennridge	11-	20	-9	-6	–	1.07	-2.67
4/26	H	Council Rock North	2-	16	-14	-13		-1.07	-1.43
4/30	A	Neshaminy	13-	11	2	0		1.07	1.63
5/01	H	Abington HS, PA	3-	19	-16	-17		-1.07	0.81
5/02	H	Pennsbury	7-	18	-11	-6	––	-1.07	-4.81
5/08	A	North Penn	2-	20	-18	-18		1.07	-0.20
5/09	H	Council Rock South	5-	12	-7	-5		-1.07	-1.96
5/11	A	Central Bucks West	4-	14	-10	-9		1.07	-0.95
5/14	H	Pennridge	10-	12	-2	-4	+	-1.07	2.19
5/17	A	Council Rock North	5-	17	-12	-15	+	1.07	2.72
5/18	A	Abington HS, PA	0-	17	-17	-19		1.07	1.96
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Central Bucks East	5-	20	4.37
4/13	A	Pennsbury	4-	19	5.00
4/18	H	North Penn	4-	18	-1.65
4/26	H	Council Rock North	2-	16	1.43
5/01	H	Abington HS, PA	3-	19	-0.81
5/02	H	Pennsbury	7-	18	1.00
5/08	A	North Penn	2-	20	0.20
5/11	A	Central Bucks West	4-	14	0.00
5/17	A	Council Rock North	5-	17	-2.72
5/18	A	Abington HS, PA	0-	17	-1.96
10-goal correction: 0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	580
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.66		Natl Power Rank	580
Natl SOS Rating	76.80		Natl SOS Rank	152
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	600
W-L Pct Rating	0.22		W-L Pct Rank	1576
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.3


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