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Chapel Hill Tigers (9-8)

Region: NC E Cen

State: NC

Coach: Susan Crammer

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/28	at Riverside, NC (1-10)	NC E Cen	64.2		W	12-	3		0.000
3/02	ATHENS DRIVE (8-9)	NC East	71.8		W	13-	10		0.200
3/06	at Green Hope (17-5)	NC E Cen	77.2	3	L	12-	14		-0.150
3/08	EAST CHAPEL HILL (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	L	5-	8		-0.150
3/13	SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (2-16)	NC W Cen	66.3		W	12-	2		0.000
3/20	APEX (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	8-	15		-0.125
3/21	CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (9-8)	NC East	71.8		W	10-	6		0.200
3/27	W.G. ENLOE (5-13)	NC East	67.9		W	15-	7		0.150
3/30	RIVERSIDE, NC (1-10)	NC E Cen	64.2		W	11-	2		0.000
3/31	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (5-13)	MD IAAM A	83.9		L	1-	15		0.000
4/10	at Apex (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	8-	14		-0.100
4/19	GREEN HOPE (17-5)	NC E Cen	77.2	3	L	7-	9		-0.200
4/21	NORTH MECKLENBURG (18-5)	NC West	76.1	4	W	12-	11		0.275
4/24	at East Chapel Hill (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	L	6-	16		-0.100
4/26	at Durham Academy (12-8)	NC E Cen	73.0	9	W	14-	13		0.275
5/07	DURHAM ACADEMY (12-8)	NC E Cen	73.0	9	W	12-	11		0.225
5/12	at Apex (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	8-	17		-0.100
			75.5						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/28	A	Riverside, NC	12-	3	9	11		0.75	-1.73
3/02	H	Athens Drive	13-	10	3	2		-0.75	1.03
3/06	A	Green Hope	12-	14	-2	-4		0.75	1.92
3/08	H	East Chapel Hill	5-	8	-3	-4		-0.75	1.07
3/13	H	Southeast Guilford	12-	2	10	10		-0.75	0.34
3/20	H	Apex	8-	15	-7	-5	–	-0.75	-2.20
3/21	H	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	10-	6	4	2		-0.75	1.77
3/27	H	W.G. Enloe	15-	7	8	4	+	-0.75	3.62
3/30	H	Riverside, NC	11-	2	9	12	–	-0.75	-3.23
3/31	H	Archbishop Spalding	1-	15	-14	-10	–	-0.80		-3.55
4/10	A	Apex	8-	14	-6	-6		0.75	0.30
4/19	H	Green Hope	7-	9	-2	-2		-0.75	0.42
4/21	H	North Mecklenburg	12-	11	1	-1		-0.75	1.97
4/24	A	East Chapel Hill	6-	16	-10	-6	––	0.75	-4.44
4/26	A	Durham Academy	14-	13	1	-1		0.75	1.67
5/07	H	Durham Academy	12-	11	1	1		-0.75	0.18
5/12	A	Apex	8-	17	-9	-6	–	0.75	-2.70
									0.00	-3.55

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	Southeast Guilford	12-	2	-0.34
3/31	H	Archbishop Spalding	1-	15	4.00
4/24	A	East Chapel Hill	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	989
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.69		Natl Power Rank	989
Natl SOS Rating	64.42		Natl SOS Rank	737
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	522
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	884
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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