| Region: VA Cncrd | State: VA | Coach: Michele Gates |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/19 | A | Mt. Vernon | 16- | 0 | 16 | 12 | + | 1.07 | 3.81 | |
3/21 | H | James Madison | 15- | 1 | 14 | 13 | | -1.07 | 1.23 | |
3/26 | H | Westfield, VA | 15- | 10 | 5 | 5 | | -1.07 | 0.33 | |
3/29 | A | Centreville | 11- | 4 | 7 | 8 | | 1.07 | -0.59 | |
4/09 | A | Fairfax | 16- | 4 | 12 | 10 | | 1.07 | 1.75 | |
4/13 | H | Herndon | 13- | 6 | 7 | 8 | | -1.07 | -0.60 | |
4/16 | A | Yorktown, VA | 10- | 11 | -1 | 1 | – | 1.07 | -2.29 | |
4/23 | H | Robinson Secondary | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | -1.07 | 0.31 | |
5/01 | A | Oakton | 10- | 11 | -1 | -7 | +++ | 1.07 | 6.27 | |
5/03 | H | Langley | 12- | 6 | 6 | 4 | + | -1.07 | 2.49 | |
5/03 | A | South Lakes | 15- | 4 | 11 | 14 | – | 1.07 | -3.30 | |
5/07 | H | Fairfax | 15- | 8 | 7 | 12 | –– | -1.07 | -5.38 | |
5/09 | H | Robinson Secondary | 13- | 11 | 2 | 1 | | -1.07 | 1.31 | |
5/11 | N | Oakton | 4- | 15 | -11 | -6 | –– | 0.00 | -4.80 | |
5/15 | H | Lake Braddock | 12- | 6 | 6 | 6 | | -1.07 | -0.20 | |
5/17 | A | Loudoun Valley | 17- | 10 | 7 | 0 | +++ | 1.07 | 7.12 | |
5/21 | H | Robinson Secondary | 6- | 9 | -3 | 1 | – | -1.07 | -3.69 | |
5/23 | A | W.T. Woodson | 9- | 14 | -5 | -1 | – | 1.07 | -3.75 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/19 | A | Mt. Vernon | 16- | 0 | -3.81 |
3/21 | H | James Madison | 15- | 1 | -1.23 |
4/09 | A | Fairfax | 16- | 4 | -1.75 |
5/03 | A | South Lakes | 15- | 4 | 3.30 |
5/11 | N | Oakton | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.14 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 84. | | Natl CCR Rank | 206 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 83.69 | | Natl Power Rank | 206 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 73.93 | | Natl SOS Rank | 230 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.22 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 711 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.72 | | W-L Pct Rank | 392 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.3 |
|
