| Region: CT Div 1 | State: CT | Coach: Dan Warburton |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
4/07 | SIMSBURY (6-9) | CT Div 1 | 79.3 | | W | 9- | 3 | | 0.175 |
4/10 | at Shelton (1-14) | CT Div 2 | 66.1 | | W | 17- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | at South Windsor (11-7) | CT Div 1 | 83.2 | 9 | W | 16- | 12 | | 0.300 |
4/19 | BRANFORD (12-8) | CT Div 1 | 81.1 | | T | 5- | 5 | 2ot | 0.000 |
4/21 | NEWTOWN (16-3) | CT Div 1 | 84.5 | 5 | L | 6- | 9 | | -0.225 |
4/24 | at Mercy, CT (7-10) | CT Div 1 | 77.2 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.125 |
4/26 | AMITY (11-8) | CT Div 2 | 78.9 | | L | 8- | 9 | 2ot | -0.375 |
4/30 | at Daniel Hand (16-4) | CT Div 1 | 86.2 | 4 | L | 8- | 14 | | -0.125 |
5/03 | HAMDEN (6-10) | CT Div 1 | 77.2 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.100 |
5/08 | at Guilford, CT (13-6) | CT Div 1 | 81.2 | | W | 12- | 11 | | 0.225 |
5/10 | at New Canaan (12-6) | CT Div 1 | 83.5 | 7 | L | 11- | 14 | | -0.200 |
5/12 | GLASTONBURY (13-6) | CT Div 1 | 83.7 | 6 | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.275 |
5/14 | WEST HAVEN (7-9) | CT Div 2 | 75.3 | | W | 17- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/15 | at Conard (11-5) | CT Div 1 | 81.5 | | W | 14- | 11 | | 0.225 |
5/17 | SOMERS, CT (11-8) | CT Div 1 | 77.8 | | W | 18- | 8 | | 0.100 |
5/22 | MERCY, CT (7-10) | CT Div 1 | 77.2 | | W | 19- | 9 | | 0.075 |
5/24 | vs. Branford # (12-8) | CT Div 1 | 81.1 | | L | 8- | 9 | 2ot | -0.300 |
5/25 | at Sacred Heart, CT (3-12) | CT Div 2 | 70.4 | | W | 19- | 8 | | 0.000 |
6/03 | at Daniel Hand (16-4) | CT Div 1 | 86.2 | 4 | L | 6- | 18 | | -0.125 |
| # Neutral site | | 77.5 | | | | | | 0.25 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/07 | H | Simsbury | 9- | 3 | 6 | 3 | + | -0.72 | 2.88 | |
4/10 | A | Shelton | 17- | 1 | 16 | 16 | | 0.72 | -0.45 | |
4/14 | A | South Windsor | 16- | 12 | 4 | -2 | +++ | 0.72 | 6.13 | |
4/19 | H | Branford | 5- | 5 | 0 | 2 | – | -0.72 | -2.24 | |
4/21 | H | Newtown | 6- | 9 | -3 | -1 | – | -0.72 | -2.29 | |
4/24 | A | Mercy, CT | 16- | 7 | 9 | 5 | + | 0.72 | 3.85 | |
4/26 | H | Amity | 8- | 9 | -1 | 5 | –– | -0.72 | -5.95 | |
4/30 | A | Daniel Hand | 8- | 14 | -6 | -5 | | 0.72 | -1.18 | |
5/03 | H | Hamden | 11- | 5 | 6 | 6 | | -0.72 | 0.01 | |
5/08 | A | Guilford, CT | 12- | 11 | 1 | 1 | | 0.72 | -0.06 | |
5/10 | A | New Canaan | 11- | 14 | -3 | -2 | | 0.72 | -0.98 | |
5/12 | H | Glastonbury | 11- | 10 | 1 | -1 | | -0.72 | 1.69 | |
5/14 | H | West Haven | 17- | 6 | 11 | 10 | | -0.72 | 1.17 | |
5/15 | A | Conard | 14- | 11 | 3 | 1 | | 0.72 | 1.74 | |
5/17 | H | Somers, CT | 18- | 8 | 10 | 6 | + | -0.72 | 3.55 | |
5/22 | H | Mercy, CT | 19- | 9 | 10 | 7 | + | -0.72 | 3.41 | |
5/24 | N | Branford | 8- | 9 | -1 | 2 | – | 0.00 | -2.52 | |
5/25 | A | Sacred Heart, CT | 19- | 8 | 11 | 13 | | 0.72 | -1.58 | |
6/03 | A | Daniel Hand | 6- | 18 | -12 | -5 | ––– | 0.72 | -7.18 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/10 | A | Shelton | 17- | 1 | 0.45 |
5/14 | H | West Haven | 17- | 6 | -1.17 |
5/17 | H | Somers, CT | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
5/22 | H | Mercy, CT | 19- | 9 | 0.00 |
5/25 | A | Sacred Heart, CT | 19- | 8 | 1.58 |
6/03 | A | Daniel Hand | 6- | 18 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.15 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 83. | | Natl CCR Rank | 245 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 82.67 | | Natl Power Rank | 245 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 67.48 | | Natl SOS Rank | 574 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.25 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 666 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.66 | | W-L Pct Rank | 538 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
|
