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Chelmsford Lions (15-4)

Region: MA No D1

State: MA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	LOWELL (8-11)	MA No D1	69.7		W	11-	6		0.125
4/09	TYNGSBOROUGH (13-6)	MA No D2	76.9		W	10-	6		0.200
4/11	at Haverhill (0-14)	MA No D1	52.0		W	13-	2		0.000
4/23	ANDOVER, MA (21-2)	MA No D1	88.8	5	L	3-	15		-0.075
4/24	at Tewksbury Memorial (5-8)	MA No D2	66.4		W	13-	5		0.125
4/25	DRACUT (2-11)	MA No D2	54.2		W	13-	2		0.000
4/28	at Arlington HS, MA (18-3)	MA No D2	80.5		L	4-	6		-0.225
4/30	BILLERICA MEMORIAL (6-8)	MA No D1	72.8		W	14-	5		0.175
5/02	at Lowell (8-11)	MA No D1	69.7		W	9-	5		0.175
5/03	at Westford Academy (11-11)	MA No D2	77.2		L	10-	11		-0.225
5/05	WESTFORD ACADEMY (11-11)	MA No D2	77.2		W	11-	10		0.225
5/07	TEWKSBURY MEMORIAL (5-8)	MA No D2	66.4		W	14-	7		0.075
5/09	at Tyngsborough (13-6)	MA No D2	76.9		W	14-	10		0.250
5/12	WALTHAM (11-8)	MA No D1	72.5		W	14-	12		0.125
5/14	HAVERHILL (0-14)	MA No D1	52.0		W	13-	3		0.000
5/16	at Andover, MA (21-2)	MA No D1	88.8	5	L	11-	21		-0.025
5/21	at Dracut (2-11)	MA No D2	54.2		W	13-	4		0.000
5/23	at Billerica Memorial (6-8)	MA No D1	72.8		W	12-	9		0.225
5/29	PEABODY VETERANS MEM. (3-9)	MA No D1	62.3		W	13-	3		0.000
5/31	READING MEMORIAL (10-4)	MA No D1	80.3			-
			75.6						1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Lowell	11-	6	5	5		-1.16	-0.26
4/09	H	Tyngsborough	10-	6	4	2		-1.16	1.83
4/11	A	Haverhill	13-	2	11	11		1.16	-0.15
4/23	H	Andover, MA	3-	15	-12	-7	––	-1.16	-5.11
4/24	A	Tewksbury Memorial	13-	5	8	5	+	1.16	3.21
4/25	H	Dracut	13-	2	11	13	–	-1.16	-2.39
4/28	A	Arlington HS, MA	4-	6	-2	-1		1.16	-0.93
4/30	H	Billerica Memorial	14-	5	9	3	++	-1.16	5.54
5/02	A	Lowell	9-	5	4	3		1.16	1.07
5/03	A	Westford Academy	10-	11	-1	-1		1.16	0.17
5/05	H	Westford Academy	11-	10	1	1		-1.16	-0.15
5/07	H	Tewksbury Memorial	14-	7	7	7		-1.16	-0.12
5/09	A	Tyngsborough	14-	10	4	0	++	1.16	4.16
5/12	H	Waltham	14-	12	2	5	–	-1.16	-2.74
5/14	H	Haverhill	13-	3	10	13	–	-1.16	-3.48
5/16	A	Andover, MA	11-	21	-10	-9		1.16	-0.78
5/21	A	Dracut	13-	4	9	11	–	1.16	-2.06
5/23	A	Billerica Memorial	12-	9	3	1		1.16	1.87
5/29	H	Peabody Veterans Mem.	13-	3	10	10		-1.16	0.29
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	A	Haverhill	13-	2	0.15
4/23	H	Andover, MA	3-	15	2.00
4/25	H	Dracut	13-	2	2.39
5/14	H	Haverhill	13-	3	3.48
5/16	A	Andover, MA	11-	21	0.00
5/29	H	Peabody Veterans Mem.	13-	3	-0.29
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	382
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.28		Natl Power Rank	382
Natl SOS Rating	64.32		Natl SOS Rank	749
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	95
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	249
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.3


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