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Chaparral, AZ Firebirds (12-2)

Region: AZ AGLA

State: AZ

Coach: J. Livingston

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/08	DOBSON (5-8)	AZ AGLA	60.1	9	W	15-	0		0.000
2/23	PINNACLE (9-5)	AZ AGLA	69.6	5	W	15-	6		0.150
2/27	HORIZON (15-0)	AZ AGLA	81.4	1	L	4-	9		-0.150
3/01	CORONA DEL SOL (6-8)	AZ AGLA	64.4	8	W	14-	5		0.025
3/06	NOTRE DAME PREP, AZ (0-13)	AZ AGLA	55.9		W	13-	5		0.000
3/09	at Xavior College Prep (12-3)	AZ AGLA	74.0	2	W	9-	8		0.300
3/13	PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (3-10)	AZ AGLA	59.0		W	12-	2		0.000
3/15	DESERT MOUNTAIN (8-6)	AZ AGLA	65.9	6	W	10-	6		0.050
3/17	at Tucson Storm (1-11)	AZ AGLA	59.1	10	W	13-	5		0.000
3/20	at Gilbert (10-4)	AZ AGLA	73.8	3	W	7-	6		0.300
4/03	at Mountain Pointe (2-11)	AZ AGLA	58.9		W	7-	1		0.025
4/05	at Desert Vista (6-8)	AZ AGLA	65.8	7	W	14-	8		0.150
4/19	DESERT VISTA (6-8)	AZ AGLA	65.8	7	W	13-	2		0.075
4/24	vs. Xavior College Prep # (12-3)	AZ AGLA	74.0	2	L	7-	8		-0.225
# Neutral site			69.8						0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/08	H	Dobson	15-	0	15	13	+	-1.44	2.23
2/23	H	Pinnacle	15-	6	9	4	++	-1.44	4.50
2/27	H	Horizon	4-	9	-5	-4		-1.44	-0.52
3/01	H	Corona Del Sol	14-	5	9	9		-1.44	0.35
3/06	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	13-	5	8	14	–––	-1.44	-6.48
3/09	A	Xavior College Prep	9-	8	1	-2	+	1.44	3.26
3/13	H	Phoenix Country Day	12-	2	10	13	–	-1.44	-3.10
3/15	H	Desert Mountain	10-	6	4	8	–	-1.44	-3.92
3/17	A	Tucson Storm	13-	5	8	10		1.44	-1.55
3/20	A	Gilbert	7-	6	1	-2	+	1.44	3.01
4/03	A	Mountain Pointe	7-	1	6	9	–	1.44	-3.44
4/05	A	Desert Vista	14-	8	6	4		1.44	1.86
4/19	H	Desert Vista	13-	2	11	7	+	-1.44	3.98
4/24	N	Xavior College Prep	7-	8	-1	-1		0.00	-0.18
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/08	H	Dobson	15-	0	-2.23
3/13	H	Phoenix Country Day	12-	2	3.10
4/19	H	Desert Vista	13-	2	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	929
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.64		Natl Power Rank	929
Natl SOS Rating	55.34		Natl SOS Rank	1513
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	264
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	132
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	9-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	5.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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