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Collegiate School Cougars (18-4)

Region: VA LIS

State: VA

Coach: Heather Garnett

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (24-1)	DC ISL A	99.5		L	2-	12		0.000
3/23	at Norfolk Academy (5-9)	VA LIS	72.8		W	17-	3		0.000
3/27	at St. Anne's-Belfield (15-6)	VA LIS	84.6	4	W	20-	13		0.225
3/29	COLORADO ACADEMY (10-5)	CO Metro	86.7		W	13-	12		0.125
3/30	ST. CATHERINE'S SCHOOL (10-7)	VA LIS	82.3		W	14-	10		0.150
4/04	ST. GERTRUDE'S (0-14)	VA LIS	68.8		W	9-	6		0.000
4/05	SPRINGFIELD (DELCO) (21-0)	PA Centrl	95.2		L	6-	11		-0.150
4/13	NORFOLK ACADEMY (5-9)	VA LIS	72.8		W	13-	4		0.000
4/14	vs. Georgetown Visitation # (11-6)	DC ISL A	87.1		L	10-	12		-0.325
4/17	at St. Catherine's School (10-7)	VA LIS	82.3		W	15-	9		0.200
4/19	TRINITY EPISCOPAL (13-4)	VA LIS	75.8		W	17-	9		0.000
4/20	at Potomac School (13-8)	DC ISL A	83.3		W	9-	8		0.100
4/24	at Albemarle (9-9)	VA NW AAA	75.3		W	17-	10		0.050
4/27	ST. ANNE'S-BELFIELD (15-6)	VA LIS	84.6	4	W	16-	9		0.175
4/28	at Episcopal, VA (5-13)	DC ISL A	79.4		W	16-	8		0.000
5/01	at St. Gertrude's (0-14)	VA LIS	68.8		W	13-	2		0.000
5/04	ALBEMARLE (9-9)	VA NW AAA	75.3		W	17-	6		0.000
5/08	NORFOLK ACADEMY (5-9)	VA LIS	72.8		W	21-	8		0.000
5/10	ST. CATHERINE'S SCHOOL (10-7)	VA LIS	82.3		W	22-	12		1.150
5/15	EPISCOPAL, VA (5-13)	DC ISL A	79.4		W	20-	9		0.000
5/18	vs. St. Anne's-Belfield # (15-6)	VA LIS	84.6	4	W	14-	9		1.200
5/19	vs. Sts. Stephen's & Agnes # (24-1)	DC ISL A	99.5		L	6-	14		-0.025
# Neutral site			83.9						2.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	2-	12	-10	-10		1.27		0.33
3/23	A	Norfolk Academy	17-	3	14	10	+	1.07	3.80
3/27	A	St. Anne's-Belfield	20-	13	7	1	+++	1.07	6.31
3/29	H	Colorado Academy	13-	12	1	5	–	-1.17		-3.93
3/30	H	St. Catherine's School	14-	10	4	4		-1.07	-0.43
4/04	H	St. Gertrude's	9-	6	3	19	–––	-1.07	16.11
4/05	H	Springfield (DelCo)	6-	11	-5	-4		-1.07		-1.30
4/13	H	Norfolk Academy	13-	4	9	12	–	-1.07	-3.33
4/14	N	Georgetown Visitation	10-	12	-2	3	––	0.00		-5.29
4/17	A	St. Catherine's School	15-	9	6	2	+	1.07	3.71
4/19	H	Trinity Episcopal	17-	9	8	10	–	-1.07	-2.16
4/20	A	Potomac School	9-	8	1	6	––	1.27		-4.87
4/24	A	Albemarle	17-	10	7	8		1.07	-0.66
4/27	H	St. Anne's-Belfield	16-	9	7	3	++	-1.07	4.18
4/28	A	Episcopal, VA	16-	8	8	10		1.27		-1.73
5/01	A	St. Gertrude's	13-	2	11	17	––	1.07	-5.98
5/04	H	Albemarle	17-	6	11	10		-1.07	1.21
5/08	H	Norfolk Academy	21-	8	13	12		-1.07	0.67
5/10	H	St. Catherine's School	22-	12	10	4	++	-1.07	5.57
5/15	H	Episcopal, VA	20-	9	11	12		-1.27		-1.26
5/18	N	St. Anne's-Belfield	14-	9	5	2	+	0.00	3.24
5/19	N	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	6-	14	-8	-9		0.00		1.07
									0.00	-16.99

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	A	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	2-	12	0.00
3/23	A	Norfolk Academy	17-	3	-3.80
5/01	A	St. Gertrude's	13-	2	5.98
5/04	H	Albemarle	17-	6	-1.21
5/08	H	Norfolk Academy	21-	8	-0.67
5/10	H	St. Catherine's School	22-	12	0.00
5/15	H	Episcopal, VA	20-	9	1.26
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	186.		Natl CCR Rank	39
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	44
Natl Power Rating	90.43		Natl Power Rank	47
Natl SOS Rating	79.66		Natl SOS Rank	99
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	3
W-L Pct Rating	0.82		W-L Pct Rank	199
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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