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C. Milton Wright Mustangs (8-9)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Brent Ritz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	ABERDEEN (7-4)	MD 2A	69.6		W	21-	4		0.000
3/30	at North Harford (17-2)	MD 2A	89.7	7	L	5-	10		-0.075
4/03	CHESAPEAKE, AA COUNTY (10-8)	MD 4A	79.8		W	9-	5		0.200
4/05	vs. Arundel # (7-5)	MD 4A	80.9		W	12-	10		0.250
4/07	vs. Annapolis # (8-7)	MD 3A	81.0		L	8-	11		-0.250
4/13	FALLSTON (7-7)	MD 3A	83.0		L	9-	10	ot	-0.250
4/17	at Winters Mill (10-6)	MD 2A	82.4		L	5-	12		-0.225
4/18	BEL AIR (8-5)	MD 3A	82.0		L	7-	11		-0.275
4/20	NORTH HARFORD (17-2)	MD 2A	89.7	7	L	6-	12		-0.125
4/23	SOUTH RIVER (11-4)	MD 4A	86.0	10	L	9-	11		-0.200
4/25	at Fallston (7-7)	MD 3A	83.0		W	10-	9		0.325
4/27	SETON KEOUGH (7-9)	MD IAAM A	88.7		W	9-	8		0.425
5/01	at Bel Air (8-5)	MD 3A	82.0		W	11-	7		0.275
5/04	CENTURY, MD (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	L	11-	16		-0.125
5/11	PERRY HALL (4-9)	MD 4A	74.0		W	17-	9		0.025
5/15	NORTH COUNTY (2-11)	MD 4A	66.9		W	21-	2		0.000
5/17	at Dulaney (13-3)	MD 4A	90.5	4	L	5-	14		-0.075
# Neutral site			85.2						-0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	Aberdeen	21-	4	17	15		-1.20	1.56
3/30	A	North Harford	5-	10	-5	-7	+	1.20	2.05
4/03	H	Chesapeake, AA County	9-	5	4	2		-1.20	1.61
4/05	N	Arundel	12-	10	2	0		0.00	1.53
4/07	N	Annapolis	8-	11	-3	0	–	0.00	-3.21
4/13	H	Fallston	9-	10	-1	0		-1.20	-0.55
4/17	A	Winters Mill	5-	12	-7	-1	–––	1.20	-6.44
4/18	H	Bel Air	7-	11	-4	1	––	-1.20	-5.30
4/20	H	North Harford	6-	12	-6	-5		-1.20	-1.35
4/23	H	South River	9-	11	-2	-2		-1.20	-0.01
4/25	A	Fallston	10-	9	1	-3	+	1.20	3.85
4/27	H	Seton Keough	9-	8	1	-7	+++	-1.03		7.69
5/01	A	Bel Air	11-	7	4	-1	++	1.20	5.10
5/04	H	Century, MD	11-	16	-5	-5		-1.20	0.03
5/11	H	Perry Hall	17-	9	8	9		-1.20	-0.66
5/15	H	North County	21-	2	19	15	+	-1.20	3.51
5/17	A	Dulaney	5-	14	-9	-7		1.20	-1.70
									0.00	7.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Aberdeen	21-	4	-1.56
5/15	H	North County	21-	2	-3.51
10-goal correction: -0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	332
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.02		Natl Power Rank	332
Natl SOS Rating	82.15		Natl SOS Rank	67
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1193
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	992
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.0


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