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Conard Chieftains (11-5 - 1)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Ashley Gengras

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (12-7)	CT Div 2	76.4		W	11-	4		0.075
4/05	at Farmington (9-7)	CT Div 2	74.4		W	12-	4		0.025
4/10	at Minnechaug (10-6)	MA West D1	81.0		W	16-	6		0.250
4/24	at East Lyme (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	W	10-	8		0.325
4/26	WINDSOR (2-11)	CT Div 2	69.3		W	16-	2		0.000
4/27	at Suffield HS (7-8)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	17-	8		0.050
4/30	GLASTONBURY (13-6)	CT Div 1	83.7	6	W	8-	7		0.325
5/01	SOUTHINGTON (6-8)	CT Div 1	78.1		W	10-	8		0.150
5/03	at Newington (4-9)	CT Div 2	73.8		W	10-	9	2ot	0.050
5/10	SIMSBURY (6-9)	CT Div 1	79.3		W	13-	9		0.225
5/12	at Branford (12-8)	CT Div 1	81.1		W	7-	3		0.275
5/15	CHESHIRE HS (12-6)	CT Div 1	82.7	10	L	11-	14		-0.225
5/17	at South Windsor (11-7)	CT Div 1	83.2	9	L	7-	16		-0.150
5/19	at Daniel Hand (16-4)	CT Div 1	86.2	4	L	5-	16		-0.075
5/22	LONGMEADOW (21-1)	MA West D1	92.1		L	3-	13		0.000
5/24	at Hall, West Hartford (10-5)	CT Div 1	82.0		T	10-	10	2ot	0.000
6/02	at Guilford, CT (13-6)	CT Div 1	81.2		L	8-	9	ot	-0.225
			77.9						1.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Northwest Catholic	11-	4	7	7		-0.72	-0.28
4/05	A	Farmington	12-	4	8	9		0.72	-0.51
4/10	A	Minnechaug	16-	6	10	0	+++	0.94		10.44
4/24	A	East Lyme	10-	8	2	-3	++	0.72	4.80
4/26	H	Windsor	16-	2	14	13		-0.72	0.88
4/27	A	Suffield HS	17-	8	9	8		0.72	0.60
4/30	H	Glastonbury	8-	7	1	-3	+	-0.72	3.67
5/01	H	Southington	10-	8	2	4		-0.72	-1.56
5/03	A	Newington	10-	9	1	8	–––	0.72	-7.07
5/10	H	Simsbury	13-	9	4	1	+	-0.72	2.86
5/12	A	Branford	7-	3	4	-1	++	0.72	5.18
5/15	H	Cheshire HS	11-	14	-3	-1		-0.72	-1.74
5/17	A	South Windsor	7-	16	-9	-4	––	0.72	-4.89
5/19	A	Daniel Hand	5-	16	-11	-7	––	0.72	-4.20
5/22	H	Longmeadow	3-	13	-10	-10		-0.94		-0.31
5/24	A	Hall, West Hartford	10-	10	0	-2	+	0.72	2.35
6/02	A	Guilford, CT	8-	9	-1	-1		0.72	-0.08
									0.00	10.13

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Minnechaug	16-	6	0.00
4/26	H	Windsor	16-	2	-0.88
5/19	A	Daniel Hand	5-	16	1.00
5/22	H	Longmeadow	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	300
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.47		Natl Power Rank	300
Natl SOS Rating	68.37		Natl SOS Rank	512
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	116
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	490
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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