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Colts Neck Cougars (6-10)

Region: NJ SC A N

State: NJ

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Hillsborough, NJ (15-5)	NJ CJ Cen	81.7		L	2-	18		0.000
4/07	FREEHOLD TOWNSHIP (12-3)	NJ SC A N	76.6		L	5-	14		-0.100
4/10	at Marlboro (9-9)	NJ SC A N	71.1		W	12-	7		0.275
4/12	at Ocean Township (12-7)	NJ SC A N	77.1		L	5-	17		0.000
4/14	BRICK MEMORIAL (3-9)	NJ SC A S	70.0		W	10-	9		0.200
4/17	HOWELL (7-8)	NJ SC A N	71.6		W	17-	8		0.200
4/21	ST. ROSE (2-12)	NJ SC B	75.1			-
4/24	at Freehold Township (12-3)	NJ SC A N	76.6		L	4-	19		-0.025
4/26	MARLBORO (9-9)	NJ SC A N	71.1		W	9-	7		0.175
4/30	at St. John Vianney (8-8)	NJ Indep	77.2		L	2-	15		0.000
5/01	at Howell (7-8)	NJ SC A N	71.6		L	7-	14		-0.225
5/03	MANALAPAN (0-11)	NJ SC A N	60.0		W	18-	3		0.000
5/07	OCEAN TOWNSHIP (12-7)	NJ SC A N	77.1		L	12-	14		-0.075
5/07	at Manasquan (11-7)	NJ SC B	77.9			-
5/10	MONMOUTH REGIONAL (4-9)	NJ SC A N	75.5		L	11-	15		-0.200
5/14	RED BANK REGIONAL (7-10)	NJ SC A N	75.2		L	11-	12		-0.200
5/16	LACEY TOWNSHIP (6-8)	NJ Indep	70.7		W	12-	10		0.175
5/17	HOLMDEL (9-7)	NJ CJ Bdm	76.2		L	6-	9		-0.100
			73.4						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Hillsborough, NJ	2-	18	-16	-15		1.62	-0.69
4/07	H	Freehold Township	5-	14	-9	-6	–	-1.62	-3.23
4/10	A	Marlboro	12-	7	5	-1	++	1.62	5.62
4/12	A	Ocean Township	5-	17	-12	-10		1.62	-1.60
4/14	H	Brick Memorial	10-	9	1	2		-1.62	-1.42
4/17	H	Howell	17-	8	9	2	+++	-1.62	7.16
4/24	A	Freehold Township	4-	19	-15	-9	––	1.62	-5.99
4/26	H	Marlboro	9-	7	2	3		-1.62	-0.61
4/30	A	St. John Vianney	2-	15	-13	-11	–	1.62	-2.09
5/01	A	Howell	7-	14	-7	-1	––	1.62	-5.60
5/03	H	Manalapan	18-	3	15	12	+	-1.62	2.92
5/07	H	Ocean Township	12-	14	-2	-7	++	-1.62	5.16
5/10	H	Monmouth Regional	11-	15	-4	-2	–	-1.62	-2.16
5/14	H	Red Bank Regional	11-	12	-1	-2		-1.62	0.71
5/16	H	Lacey Township	12-	10	2	3		-1.62	-1.02
5/17	H	Holmdel	6-	9	-3	-6	+	-1.62	2.86
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Hillsborough, NJ	2-	18	0.69
4/12	A	Ocean Township	5-	17	2.00
4/24	A	Freehold Township	4-	19	5.00
4/30	A	St. John Vianney	2-	15	2.09
5/03	H	Manalapan	18-	3	-2.92
10-goal correction: 0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	1042
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.16		Natl Power Rank	1042
Natl SOS Rating	60.49		Natl SOS Rank	1010
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	836
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1233
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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