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Corcoran-Fowler Cougars (11-6)

Conference: A2

Region: NY A Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Rob Nicholas

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	WESTHILL (13-8)	NY C Sec 3	81.4	9	W	15-	12		0.225
3/28	GENERAL BROWN (3-10)	NY C Sec 3	72.2		W	13-	1		0.000
3/30	EAST SYRACUSE-MINOA (13-5)	NY B Sec 3	81.0		W	12-	5		0.125
4/03	at Rome Free Academy (3-12)	NY A Sec 3	78.8		W	17-	5		0.025
4/05	at Henninger-Nottingham (5-10)	NY A Sec 3	80.9		W	12-	7		0.250
4/10	at East Rochester (16-5)	NY C Sec 5	89.2		L	6-	8		-0.025
4/12	OSWEGO (2-14)	NY A Sec 3	78.5		W	14-	1		0.000
4/14	at Auburn (10-8)	NY A Sec 3	81.1		L	12-	19		-0.225
4/19	ROME FREE ACADEMY (3-12)	NY A Sec 3	78.8		W	18-	7		0.000
4/23	at Watertown, NY (8-6)	NY B Sec 3	80.1		W	12-	3		0.050
4/26	AUBURN (10-8)	NY A Sec 3	81.1		W	15-	9		0.200
4/28	WEST GENESEE (24-0)	NY A Sec 3	****	1	L	5-	18		0.000
5/01	at Fayetteville-Manlius (10-9)	NY A Sec 3	84.6	5	L	4-	16		-0.075
5/04	LIVERPOOL (9-8)	NY A Sec 3	81.5	7	W	13-	11		0.250
5/08	at Cicero-North Syracuse (11-7)	NY A Sec 3	84.3	6		-
5/10	HENNINGER-NOTTINGHAM (5-10)	NY A Sec 3	80.9			-
5/16	at Baldwinsville (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	86.5	4	L	5-	15		-0.075
5/17	at Oswego (2-14)	NY A Sec 3	78.5		W	14-	9		0.025
5/22	at Fayetteville-Manlius (10-9)	NY A Sec 3	84.6	5	L	9-	10		-0.075
			87.2						0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Westhill	15-	12	3	1	+	-1.72	2.46
3/28	H	General Brown	13-	1	12	17	––	-1.72	-4.54
3/30	H	East Syracuse-Minoa	12-	5	7	5	+	-1.72	2.22
4/03	A	Rome Free Academy	17-	5	12	9	+	1.72	2.53
4/05	A	Henninger-Nottingham	12-	7	5	0	++	1.72	5.23
4/10	A	East Rochester	6-	8	-2	-9	+++	1.37		7.29
4/12	H	Oswego	14-	1	13	12		-1.72	0.68
4/14	A	Auburn	12-	19	-7	-1	––	1.72	-5.94
4/19	H	Rome Free Academy	18-	7	11	13		-1.72	-1.90
4/23	A	Watertown, NY	12-	3	9	8		1.72	1.19
4/26	H	Auburn	15-	9	6	2	+	-1.72	3.62
4/28	H	West Genesee	5-	18	-13	-12		-1.72	-1.16
5/01	A	Fayetteville-Manlius	4-	16	-12	-7	––	1.72	-5.31
5/04	H	Liverpool	13-	11	2	0	+	-1.72	2.20
5/16	A	Baldwinsville	5-	15	-10	-7	–	1.72	-3.10
5/17	A	Oswego	14-	9	5	9	–	1.72	-3.88
5/22	A	Fayetteville-Manlius	9-	10	-1	-7	++	1.72	5.69
									0.00	7.29

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	H	General Brown	13-	1	4.54
4/03	A	Rome Free Academy	17-	5	-2.00
4/12	H	Oswego	14-	1	-0.69
4/19	H	Rome Free Academy	18-	7	1.90
4/28	H	West Genesee	5-	18	1.16
5/01	A	Fayetteville-Manlius	4-	16	2.00
5/16	A	Baldwinsville	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	318
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.32		Natl Power Rank	318
Natl SOS Rating	86.25		Natl SOS Rank	32
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	285
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	556
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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