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Convent-Sacred Heart, CT (9-6)

Region: NE

State: CT

Coach: Abigail Scott

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/16	at Taft School (5-8)	NE	80.2			-
3/17	at Choate Rosemary Hall (12-3)	NE	81.7			-
3/31	BLAIR ACADEMY, NJ (3-9)	NJ Indep	75.9		W	13-	4		0.100
4/02	GREENS FARMS ACADEMY (1-10)	NE	72.1		W	14-	0		0.000
4/11	at Hotchkiss School (11-3)	NE	85.0	3	L	6-	15		-0.100
4/19	RYE COUNTRY DAY (12-2)	NE	81.1		W	10-	7		0.200
4/21	LOOMIS CHAFFEE SCHOOL (9-4)	NE	84.0	6	L	4-	7		-0.200
4/25	at King&Low-Heywood Thoma (7-7)	NE	75.1		W	12-	5		0.125
4/28	GREENWICH ACADEMY (17-2)	NE	87.8	1	L	10-	19		-0.125
5/01	at St. Luke's (10-2)	NE	78.8		W	9-	6		0.225
5/03	MASTER'S SCHOOL, CT (0-5)	NE	63.6		W	17-	1		0.000
5/08	HOLY CHILD, NY (3-8)	NE	73.8		W	15-	2		0.000
5/09	at Millbrook School (8-7)	NE	78.2		W	11-	8		0.225
5/12	TAFT SCHOOL (5-8)	NE	80.2		W	9-	8		0.250
5/14	at Choate Rosemary Hall (12-3)	NE	81.7		L	8-	9		-0.200
5/18	HACKLEY SCHOOL (15-2)	NY Ivy	79.0		L	10-	13		-0.325
5/22	vs. Greenwich Academy # (17-2)	NE	87.8	1	L	12-	21		-0.100
# Neutral site			79.6						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Blair Academy, NJ	13-	4	9	6	+	-1.48		3.45
4/02	H	Greens Farms Academy	14-	0	14	13		-1.33	1.37
4/11	A	Hotchkiss School	6-	15	-9	-6	–	1.33	-2.80
4/19	H	Rye Country Day	10-	7	3	2		-1.33	1.44
4/21	H	Loomis Chaffee School	4-	7	-3	-2		-1.33	-0.53
4/25	A	King&Low-Heywood Thoma	12-	5	7	5		1.33	1.73
4/28	H	Greenwich Academy	10-	19	-9	-5	––	-1.33	-4.04
5/01	A	St. Luke's	9-	6	3	1		1.33	1.66
5/03	H	Master's School, CT	17-	1	16	18	–	-1.33	-2.20
5/08	H	Holy Child, NY	15-	2	13	11		-1.33	1.93
5/09	A	Millbrook School	11-	8	3	1		1.33	1.93
5/12	H	Taft School	9-	8	1	0		-1.33	1.01
5/14	A	Choate Rosemary Hall	8-	9	-1	-2		1.33	1.22
5/18	H	Hackley School	10-	13	-3	3	––	-1.59		-5.61
5/22	N	Greenwich Academy	12-	21	-9	-6	–	0.00	-2.71
									0.00	-2.17

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Greens Farms Academy	14-	0	-1.37
5/03	H	Master's School, CT	17-	1	2.20
5/08	H	Holy Child, NY	15-	2	-1.93
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	395
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.03		Natl Power Rank	395
Natl SOS Rating	71.37		Natl SOS Rank	350
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	866
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	684
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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