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Cypress Bay Club Lightning (13-5)

Region: FL IA D4

State: FL

Coach: Serrita Hanlan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/15	TARAVELLA CLUB (6-9)	FL IA D3	66.7	6	W	10-	8	ot	0.150
2/17	at St. Thomas Aquinas Clu (17-2)	FL IA D3	74.2	2	L	11-	12		-0.125
2/22	KILLIAN CLUB (1-12)	FL IA D4	59.1		W	12-	2		0.000
2/28	at Coral Shores Club (4-8)	FL IA D4	66.5	7	W	16-	7		0.200
3/06	PALMETTO CLUB (8-6)	FL IA D4	68.1	5	L	10-	11		-0.325
3/08	at Cardinal Gibbons Club (6-8)	FL IA D3	64.5	9	W	15-	12		0.100
3/13	DOUGLAS CLUB (15-1)	FL IA D3	75.0	1	L	9-	21		-0.125
3/17	at Palmer Trinity Club (6-10)	FL IA D4	65.3	8	W	15-	7		0.150
3/20	CORAL SHORES CLUB (4-8)	FL IA D4	66.5	7	W	18-	16		0.175
3/24	at Killian Club (1-12)	FL IA D4	59.1		W	11-	6		0.025
3/26	at Palmetto Club (8-6)	FL IA D4	68.1	5	W	14-	5		0.225
3/27	PALMER TRINITY CLUB (6-10)	FL IA D4	65.3	8	W	17-	12		0.125
3/31	BARRON COLLIER CLUB (15-3)	FL IA D2	70.3	4	W	8-	7		0.225
4/09	at Taravella Club (6-9)	FL IA D3	66.7	6	W	17-	12		0.200
4/12	NOVA CLUB (0-12)	FL IA D3	54.9			-
4/14	ST. THOMAS AQUINAS CLU (17-2)	FL IA D3	74.2	2	L	11-	15		-0.150
4/16	CORAL SHORES CLUB (4-8)	FL IA D4	66.5	7	W	14-	9		0.175
4/19	PALMER TRINITY CLUB (6-10)	FL IA D4	65.3	8	W	21-	17		0.125
4/21	ST. THOMAS AQUINAS CLU (17-2)	FL IA D3	74.2	2	L	2-	11		-0.150
			66.7						1.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/15	H	Taravella Club	10-	8	2	4		-0.74	-1.89
2/17	A	St. Thomas Aquinas Clu	11-	12	-1	-5	++	0.74	4.10
2/22	H	Killian Club	12-	2	10	10		-0.74	-0.27
2/28	A	Coral Shores Club	16-	7	9	2	+++	0.74	7.46
3/06	H	Palmetto Club	10-	11	-1	3	–	-0.74	-3.60
3/08	A	Cardinal Gibbons Club	15-	12	3	6	–	0.74	-2.68
3/13	H	Douglas Club	9-	21	-12	-5	–––	-0.74	-7.23
3/17	A	Palmer Trinity Club	15-	7	8	4	++	0.74	4.06
3/20	H	Coral Shores Club	18-	16	2	3		-0.74	-1.01
3/24	A	Killian Club	11-	6	5	9	–	0.74	-3.80
3/26	A	Palmetto Club	14-	5	9	1	+++	0.74	7.88
3/27	H	Palmer Trinity Club	17-	12	5	5		-0.74	-0.41
3/31	H	Barron Collier Club	8-	7	1	1		-0.74	-0.02
4/09	A	Taravella Club	17-	12	5	2	+	0.74	2.58
4/14	H	St. Thomas Aquinas Clu	11-	15	-4	-4		-0.74	-0.37
4/16	H	Coral Shores Club	14-	9	5	3		-0.74	1.99
4/19	H	Palmer Trinity Club	21-	17	4	5		-0.74	-1.41
4/21	H	St. Thomas Aquinas Clu	2-	11	-9	-4	––	-0.74	-5.37
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/22	H	Killian Club	12-	2	0.27
3/13	H	Douglas Club	9-	21	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	1171
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.45		Natl Power Rank	1171
Natl SOS Rating	50.76		Natl SOS Rank	1807
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	131
W-L Pct Rating	0.72		W-L Pct Rank	379
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	11-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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