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Cypress Creek Bears (9-8)

Region: FL Distr 1

State: FL

Coach: Foster-Hennighan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/15	at Boone (2-15)	FL Distr 6	69.4		W	12-	11		0.175
2/16	at West Orange (16-3)	FL Distr 8	80.0	8	L	3-	21		0.000
2/20	WINTER PARK (18-5)	FL Distr 6	82.3	7	L	4-	18		-0.050
2/22	at East Ridge (6-9)	FL Distr 8	72.1		W	14-	10		0.250
3/01	at Apopka (4-11)	FL Distr 1	71.8		W	14-	11		0.250
3/06	at Lake Highland Prep (13-9)	FL Distr 7	77.5		L	6-	16		-0.025
3/16	at Sebastian River (2-8)	FL Distr 1	72.3		W	7-	6		0.250
3/19	SEBASTIAN RIVER (2-8)	FL Distr 1	72.3			-
3/22	at Freedom, FL (5-11)	FL Distr 9	74.1		W	14-	12		0.300
3/23	at Dr. Phillips (2-13)	FL Distr 8	66.9		W	17-	7		0.100
3/27	COLONIAL (2-12)	FL Distr 9	66.3		W	15-	5		0.000
3/30	at Edgewater (10-7)	FL Distr 7	75.4		L	11-	16		-0.150
4/02	PARK VISTA (16-3)	FL South 2	85.2	4	L	4-	20		0.000
4/03	at Timber Creek (11-7)	FL Distr 9	75.3		L	6-	9		-0.150
4/05	UNIVERSITY HS, ORLANDO (7-10)	FL Distr 9	73.8		W	12-	5		0.150
4/06	OLYMPIA (13-6)	FL Distr 7	78.0		L	9-	12		-0.125
4/12	SEBASTIAN RIVER (2-8)	FL Distr 1	72.3		W	10-	7		0.125
4/16	vs. Lake Highland Prep # (13-9)	FL Distr 7	77.5		L	4-	7		-0.100
# Neutral site			73.0						1.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/15	A	Boone	12-	11	1	3	–	2.60	-2.02
2/16	A	West Orange	3-	21	-18	-11	–––	2.60	-6.63
2/20	H	Winter Park	4-	18	-14	-8	––	-2.60	-5.77
2/22	A	East Ridge	14-	10	4	0	+	2.60	3.64
3/01	A	Apopka	14-	11	3	0	+	2.60	2.77
3/06	A	Lake Highland Prep	6-	16	-10	-9		2.60	-1.14
3/16	A	Sebastian River	7-	6	1	0		2.60	1.12
3/22	A	Freedom, FL	14-	12	2	-2	++	2.60	4.45
3/23	A	Dr. Phillips	17-	7	10	6	+	2.60	3.73
3/27	H	Colonial	15-	5	10	12		-2.60	-1.71
3/30	A	Edgewater	11-	16	-5	-4		2.60	-0.84
4/02	H	Park Vista	4-	20	-16	-11	––	-2.60	-4.78
4/03	A	Timber Creek	6-	9	-3	-4		2.60	0.86
4/05	H	University HS, Orlando	12-	5	7	4	+	-2.60	3.50
4/06	H	Olympia	9-	12	-3	-5		-2.60	1.65
4/12	H	Sebastian River	10-	7	3	5	–	-2.60	-2.09
4/16	N	Lake Highland Prep	4-	7	-3	-6	+	0.00	3.25
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/16	A	West Orange	3-	21	6.63
2/20	H	Winter Park	4-	18	4.00
3/06	A	Lake Highland Prep	6-	16	0.00
3/23	A	Dr. Phillips	17-	7	0.00
3/27	H	Colonial	15-	5	1.71
4/02	H	Park Vista	4-	20	4.78
10-goal correction: 1.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	840
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.86		Natl Power Rank	840
Natl SOS Rating	60.23		Natl SOS Rank	1036
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	132
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	873
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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