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Desert Vista Thunder (6-8)

Region: AZ AGLAState: AZCoach: Tiffany/Tara

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
2/05at Xavior College Prep (12-3)AZ AGLA74.02L8-13 -0.050  
2/08at Corona Del Sol (6-8)AZ AGLA64.48L10-112ot-0.250  
2/27at Phoenix Country Day (3-10)AZ AGLA59.0W10- 3 0.125  
3/01at Desert Mountain (8-6)AZ AGLA65.96L16-17 -0.225  
3/06at Gilbert (10-4)AZ AGLA73.83L10-20 -0.050  
3/08at Horizon (15-0)AZ AGLA81.41L5-17 0.000  
3/29NOTRE DAME PREP, AZ (0-13)AZ AGLA55.9W13- 2 0.025  
3/30DOBSON (5-8)AZ AGLA60.19W9- 5 0.075  
3/31at Tucson Storm (1-11)AZ AGLA59.110W11- 2 0.150  
4/02MOUNTAIN POINTE (2-11)AZ AGLA58.9W13- 4 0.075  
4/05CHAPARRAL, AZ (12-2)AZ AGLA73.64L8-14 -0.150  
4/12PINNACLE (9-5)AZ AGLA69.65L7-14 -0.225  
4/17PHOENIX COUNTRY DAY (3-10)AZ AGLA59.0W13- 2 0.050  
4/19at Chaparral, AZ (12-2)AZ AGLA73.64L2-13 -0.075  
 69.7     -0.52  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/05AXavior College Prep8-13-5   -8       +1.44       2.84
2/08ACorona Del Sol10-11-1   0       1.44       -1.20
2/27APhoenix Country Day10-37   5       +1.44       2.35
3/01ADesert Mountain16-17-1   -1       1.44       -0.46
3/06AGilbert10-20-10   -8       –1.44       -2.41
3/08AHorizon5-17-12   -13       1.44       0.94
3/29HNotre Dame Prep, AZ13-211   9       +-1.44       2.10
3/30HDobson9-54   7       –-1.44       -3.19
3/31ATucson Storm11-29   4       ++1.44       5.03
4/02HMountain Pointe13-49   7       +-1.44       2.26
4/05HChaparral, AZ8-14-6   -4       -1.44       -1.86
4/12HPinnacle7-14-7   -1       ––-1.44       -5.92
4/17HPhoenix Country Day13-211   8       +-1.44       3.48
4/19AChaparral, AZ2-13-11   -7       –1.44       -3.98
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/06AGilbert10-200.00
3/08AHorizon5-17-0.94
3/29HNotre Dame Prep, AZ13-2-1.00
4/17HPhoenix Country Day13-2-1.00
4/19AChaparral, AZ2-131.00
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 66.   Natl CCR Rank 1538
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 65.79   Natl Power Rank 1538
Natl SOS Rating 55.32   Natl SOS Rank 1515
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.52   Natl Quality Win Rank 1748
W-L Pct Rating 0.43   W-L Pct Rank 1104
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -8.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-8   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.3

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