| Region: VA NW AA | State: VA | Coach: Don Gasser |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | A | George C. Marshall | 13- | 4 | 9 | 9 | | 1.07 | 0.16 | |
3/13 | H | Potomac School | 5- | 10 | -5 | -6 | | -1.27 | | 1.46 |
3/21 | A | Westfield, VA | 7- | 13 | -6 | -3 | – | 1.07 | -3.30 | |
3/26 | A | Park View | 19- | 0 | 19 | 18 | | 1.07 | 0.98 | |
3/29 | A | Loudoun County | 16- | 6 | 10 | 7 | + | 1.07 | 3.10 | |
4/09 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 19- | 2 | 17 | 15 | + | -1.07 | 2.47 | |
4/19 | H | Loudoun Valley | 9- | 12 | -3 | -3 | | -1.07 | 0.24 | |
4/21 | A | Broad Run | 2- | 11 | -9 | -2 | ––– | 1.07 | -7.27 | |
4/23 | H | George Mason | 12- | 2 | 10 | 10 | | -1.07 | 0.44 | |
4/26 | A | Heritage | 14- | 5 | 9 | 5 | + | 1.07 | 3.62 | |
4/30 | A | Potomac Falls | 17- | 2 | 15 | 6 | +++ | 1.07 | 9.06 | |
5/01 | H | Forest Park | 16- | 6 | 10 | 10 | | -1.07 | 0.37 | |
5/03 | A | Briar Woods | 15- | 2 | 13 | 13 | | 1.07 | -0.02 | |
5/07 | H | Potomac Falls | 10- | 13 | -3 | 8 | ––– | -1.07 | 11.07 | |
5/10 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 22- | 1 | 21 | 15 | +++ | -1.07 | 6.47 | |
5/14 | H | Loudoun County | 16- | 8 | 8 | 9 | | -1.07 | -1.03 | |
5/18 | H | Broad Run | 9- | 12 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.07 | -3.40 | |
5/22 | A | Western Albemarle | 10- | 12 | -2 | -1 | | 1.07 | -0.83 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 1.46 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/26 | A | Park View | 19- | 0 | -0.98 |
3/29 | A | Loudoun County | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
4/09 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 19- | 2 | -2.47 |
4/23 | H | George Mason | 12- | 2 | -0.44 |
4/30 | A | Potomac Falls | 17- | 2 | -5.00 |
5/01 | H | Forest Park | 16- | 6 | -0.37 |
5/03 | A | Briar Woods | 15- | 2 | 0.02 |
5/10 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 22- | 1 | -6.47 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.87 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 76. | | Natl CCR Rank | 782 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 75.57 | | Natl Power Rank | 782 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 62.28 | | Natl SOS Rank | 879 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -1.23 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2114 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.61 | | W-L Pct Rank | 666 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
| 
