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Dover-Sherborn Raiders (14-6)

Region: MA So D2

State: MA

Coach: Dara Johnson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	CANTON, MA (5-11)	MA So D2	69.3		W	12-	2		0.050
3/30	at Medfield (13-6)	MA So D2	82.1		W	9-	8		0.300
4/03	HOLLISTON (4-10)	MA So D2	74.5		W	9-	8		0.150
4/05	MEDWAY (3-12)	MA So D2	68.7		W	13-	7		0.075
4/09	FRANKLIN, MA (13-6)	MA So D2	79.9		W	10-	8		0.200
4/11	NATICK (1-13)	MA So D1	66.4		W	12-	4		0.050
4/13	WESTWOOD, MA (22-2)	MA So D1	91.5	3	L	14-	18		-0.025
4/19	at Canton, MA (5-11)	MA So D2	69.3		W	16-	5		0.125
4/21	WAKEFIELD MEMORIAL, MA (7-9)	MA No D2	69.6		W	17-	9		0.050
4/26	at Sharon (2-11)	MA So D1	59.0		W	17-	9		0.000
4/30	at Natick (1-13)	MA So D1	66.4		W	14-	4		0.100
5/01	MEDFIELD (13-6)	MA So D2	82.1		L	7-	11		-0.250
5/04	at Holliston (4-10)	MA So D2	74.5		W	7-	5		0.200
5/07	HOPKINTON, MA (16-7)	MA So D2	83.3		L	10-	13		-0.225
5/08	at Medway (3-12)	MA So D2	68.7		W	16-	8		0.125
5/14	ASHLAND (4-14)	MA So D2	61.2		W	11-	2		0.000
5/15	at Westwood, MA (22-2)	MA So D1	91.5	3	L	7-	22		0.000
5/17	at Hopkinton, MA (16-7)	MA So D2	83.3		L	9-	14		-0.175
5/22	at Ashland (4-14)	MA So D2	61.2		W	16-	5		0.025
5/31	FRANKLIN, MA (13-6)	MA So D2	79.9		L	5-	10		-0.300
			78.2						0.48

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	H	Canton, MA	12-	2	10	8	+	-1.16	2.49
3/30	A	Medfield	9-	8	1	-2	+	1.16	3.40
4/03	H	Holliston	9-	8	1	4	–	-1.16	-2.84
4/05	H	Medway	13-	7	6	7		-1.16	-1.23
4/09	H	Franklin, MA	10-	8	2	2		-1.16	-0.40
4/11	H	Natick	12-	4	8	8		-1.16	-0.06
4/13	H	Westwood, MA	14-	18	-4	-9	++	-1.16	5.15
4/19	A	Canton, MA	16-	5	11	5	++	1.16	5.82
4/21	H	Wakefield Memorial, MA	17-	9	8	8		-1.16	0.21
4/26	A	Sharon	17-	9	8	10	–	1.16	-2.15
4/30	A	Natick	14-	4	10	6	++	1.16	4.27
5/01	H	Medfield	7-	11	-4	0	–	-1.16	-3.92
5/04	A	Holliston	7-	5	2	2		1.16	0.49
5/07	H	Hopkinton, MA	10-	13	-3	-1		-1.16	-1.93
5/08	A	Medway	16-	8	8	5	+	1.16	3.10
5/14	H	Ashland	11-	2	9	11	–	-1.16	-2.09
5/15	A	Westwood, MA	7-	22	-15	-11	–	1.16	-3.53
5/17	A	Hopkinton, MA	9-	14	-5	-3		1.16	-1.61
5/22	A	Ashland	16-	5	11	9	+	1.16	2.24
5/31	H	Franklin, MA	5-	10	-5	2	–––	-1.16	-7.40
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	H	Canton, MA	12-	2	0.00
4/19	A	Canton, MA	16-	5	-1.00
4/30	A	Natick	14-	4	0.00
5/15	A	Westwood, MA	7-	22	3.53
5/22	A	Ashland	16-	5	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	313
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.27		Natl Power Rank	313
Natl SOS Rating	68.60		Natl SOS Rank	501
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.48		Natl Quality Win Rank	440
W-L Pct Rating	0.70		W-L Pct Rank	438
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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