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Dover Senators (5-10)

Region: DE Henlop

State: DE

Coach: L. MacDougall

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	at Sts. Peter & Paul (13-2)	MD EESIAC	85.7		L	5-	14		0.000
3/27	at St. Thomas More Academ (0-9)	DE Indep	63.7		W	16-	1		0.000
3/29	at Caesar Rodney (9-7)	DE Henlop	76.4	9	L	8-	19		-0.100
3/31	at Cape Henlopen (13-5)	DE Henlop	81.9	3	L	2-	15		0.000
4/02	at Delmarva Christian (0-3)	DE Indep	65.8		W	22-	10		0.025
4/19	ST. MARK'S, DE (14-2)	DE Cath	81.0	4	L	2-	17		-0.025
4/21	at Wilmington Friends (5-12)	DE DISC	76.5	8	L	5-	15		-0.050
4/23	at Archmere Academy (3-12)	DE Cath	72.6		L	10-	14		-0.225
5/02	at Ursuline Academy, DE (6-10)	DE Cath	73.9		W	12-	9	ot	0.300
5/04	CAPE HENLOPEN (13-5)	DE Henlop	81.9	3	L	2-	17		0.000
5/08	at Tatnall School (2-13)	DE DISC	74.8		L	10-	15		-0.175
5/10	at St. Andrew's, DE (13-5)	DE DISC	85.5	2	L	0-	11		0.000
5/11	CAESAR RODNEY (9-7)	DE Henlop	76.4	9	L	8-	9		-0.150
5/14	ST. THOMAS MORE ACADEM (0-9)	DE Indep	63.7		W	19-	1		0.000
5/16	DELMARVA CHRISTIAN (0-3)	DE Indep	65.8		W	17-	9		0.000
			74.0						-0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	A	Sts. Peter & Paul	5-	14	-9	-14	++	1.88		5.12
3/27	A	St. Thomas More Academ	16-	1	15	11	++	1.06	4.12
3/29	A	Caesar Rodney	8-	19	-11	-6	––	1.06	-4.75
3/31	A	Cape Henlopen	2-	15	-13	-13		1.06	0.02
4/02	A	Delmarva Christian	22-	10	12	9	+	1.06	3.06
4/19	H	St. Mark's, DE	2-	17	-15	-9	––	-1.06	-5.97
4/21	A	Wilmington Friends	5-	15	-10	-8	–	1.06	-2.34
4/23	A	Archmere Academy	10-	14	-4	-1	–	1.06	-3.36
5/02	A	Ursuline Academy, DE	12-	9	3	-2	++	1.06	4.61
5/04	H	Cape Henlopen	2-	17	-15	-11	––	-1.06	-4.09
5/08	A	Tatnall School	10-	15	-5	-3	–	1.06	-2.09
5/10	A	St. Andrew's, DE	0-	11	-11	-17	++	1.06	5.72
5/11	H	Caesar Rodney	8-	9	-1	-4	+	-1.06	3.13
5/14	H	St. Thomas More Academ	19-	1	18	13	++	-1.06	5.00
5/16	H	Delmarva Christian	17-	9	8	11	–	-1.06	-3.06
									0.00	5.12

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	St. Thomas More Academ	16-	1	-4.12
3/29	A	Caesar Rodney	8-	19	1.00
3/31	A	Cape Henlopen	2-	15	-0.02
4/02	A	Delmarva Christian	22-	10	-2.00
4/19	H	St. Mark's, DE	2-	17	5.00
4/21	A	Wilmington Friends	5-	15	0.00
5/04	H	Cape Henlopen	2-	17	4.09
5/10	A	St. Andrew's, DE	0-	11	-5.72
5/14	H	St. Thomas More Academ	19-	1	-5.00
10-goal correction: -0.45

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	938
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.46		Natl Power Rank	938
Natl SOS Rating	62.40		Natl SOS Rank	867
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	1619
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1294
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.3


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