| Region: FL Distr 8 | State: FL | Coach: Kerry Watson |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/15 | at Olympia (13-6) | FL Distr 7 | 78.0 | | L | 2- | 21 | | 0.000 |
2/20 | EDGEWATER (10-7) | FL Distr 7 | 75.4 | | L | 5- | 14 | | -0.050 |
2/22 | at Ocoee (0-13) | FL Distr 8 | 62.1 | | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.225 |
2/23 | at Winter Park (18-5) | FL Distr 6 | 82.3 | 7 | L | 0- | 19 | | 0.000 |
3/01 | EAST RIDGE (6-9) | FL Distr 8 | 72.1 | | L | 1- | 15 | | -0.175 |
3/06 | at Apopka (4-11) | FL Distr 1 | 71.8 | | L | 6- | 14 | | -0.025 |
3/08 | FLAGLER PALM COAST (11-8) | FL Distr 3 | 75.5 | | L | 10- | 14 | | -0.025 |
3/20 | FREEDOM, FL (5-11) | FL Distr 9 | 74.1 | | L | 6- | 21 | | -0.100 |
3/22 | at Lake Highland Prep (13-9) | FL Distr 7 | 77.5 | | L | 4- | 22 | | 0.000 |
3/23 | CYPRESS CREEK (9-8) | FL Distr 1 | 74.9 | | L | 7- | 17 | | -0.100 |
3/27 | at West Orange (16-3) | FL Distr 8 | 80.0 | 8 | L | 4- | 24 | | 0.000 |
3/30 | LYMAN (4-10) | FL Distr 4 | 74.0 | | L | 9- | 13 | | -0.100 |
4/06 | at Timber Creek (11-7) | FL Distr 9 | 75.3 | | L | 3- | 12 | | 0.000 |
4/09 | EAST RIDGE (6-9) | FL Distr 8 | 72.1 | | W | 1- | 0 | | 0.325 |
4/12 | at West Orange (16-3) | FL Distr 8 | 80.0 | 8 | L | 3- | 20 | | 0.000 |
| | 73.7 | | | | | | -0.03 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/15 | A | Olympia | 2- | 21 | -19 | -19 | | 2.60 | -0.27 | |
2/20 | H | Edgewater | 5- | 14 | -9 | -8 | | -2.60 | -1.17 | |
2/22 | A | Ocoee | 16- | 9 | 7 | 1 | +++ | 2.60 | 6.17 | |
2/23 | A | Winter Park | 0- | 19 | -19 | -22 | + | 2.60 | 3.32 | |
3/01 | H | East Ridge | 1- | 15 | -14 | -3 | ––– | -2.60 | 10.69 | |
3/06 | A | Apopka | 6- | 14 | -8 | -9 | | 2.60 | 0.64 | |
3/08 | H | Flagler Palm Coast | 10- | 14 | -4 | -9 | ++ | -2.60 | 5.26 | |
3/20 | H | Freedom, FL | 6- | 21 | -15 | -6 | ––– | -2.60 | -8.88 | |
3/22 | A | Lake Highland Prep | 4- | 22 | -18 | -18 | | 2.60 | -0.27 | |
3/23 | H | Cypress Creek | 7- | 17 | -10 | -6 | – | -2.60 | -3.73 | |
3/27 | A | West Orange | 4- | 24 | -20 | -20 | | 2.60 | 0.25 | |
3/30 | H | Lyman | 9- | 13 | -4 | -6 | + | -2.60 | 2.39 | |
4/06 | A | Timber Creek | 3- | 12 | -9 | -13 | + | 2.60 | 3.74 | |
4/12 | A | West Orange | 3- | 20 | -17 | -20 | + | 2.60 | 3.25 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/15 | A | Olympia | 2- | 21 | 0.27 |
2/23 | A | Winter Park | 0- | 19 | -3.32 |
3/01 | H | East Ridge | 1- | 15 | 4.00 |
3/20 | H | Freedom, FL | 6- | 21 | 5.00 |
3/22 | A | Lake Highland Prep | 4- | 22 | 0.27 |
3/23 | H | Cypress Creek | 7- | 17 | 0.00 |
3/27 | A | West Orange | 4- | 24 | -0.25 |
4/12 | A | West Orange | 3- | 20 | -3.25 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.19 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 67. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1450 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 66.90 | | Natl Power Rank | 1450 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 61.24 | | Natl SOS Rank | 951 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.03 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1103 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.13 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1730 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 2-13 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -11.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -18.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -16.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -10.0 |
|
