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Durham Academy Cavaliers (12-8)

Region: NC E Cen

State: NC

Coach: Taylor Poitras

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/01	at East Chapel Hill (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	L	11-	16		-0.100
3/03	PROVIDENCE HS, NC (15-10)	NC SW	70.7		W	14-	7		0.175
3/07	at Western Guilford (14-5)	NC W Cen	74.2	7	W	6-	3		0.300
3/08	at Southeast Guilford (2-16)	NC W Cen	66.3		W	14-	7		0.050
3/20	PANTHER CREEK (0-3)	NC E Cen	61.1		W	12-	3		0.000
3/23	EAST CHAPEL HILL (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	L	10-	12		-0.150
3/24	MYERS PARK (18-6)	NC West	74.5	6	L	6-	10		-0.250
3/27	GREEN HOPE (17-5)	NC E Cen	77.2	3	L	3-	8		-0.200
3/29	APEX (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	7-	11		-0.125
4/03	at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (9-8)	NC East	71.8		W	11-	9		0.225
4/04	at Riverside, NC (1-10)	NC E Cen	64.2		W	16-	4		0.000
4/09	CARY (4-13)	NC East	65.8		W	13-	3		0.000
4/14	at Cape Fear Academy (9-11)	NC SE	67.2		W	10-	6		0.125
4/14	at Hoggard (13-5)	NC SE	71.8		W	11-	9		0.200
4/18	BROUGHTON (11-8)	NC East	71.9		W	9-	8		0.200
4/20	NORTH MECKLENBURG (18-5)	NC West	76.1	4	W	13-	12		0.275
4/23	W.G. ENLOE (5-13)	NC East	67.9		W	14-	11		0.150
4/24	at Apex (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	9-	13		-0.100
4/26	CHAPEL HILL (9-8)	NC E Cen	72.7	10	L	13-	14		-0.275
5/07	at Chapel Hill (9-8)	NC E Cen	72.7	10	L	11-	12		-0.225
			73.1						0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/01	A	East Chapel Hill	11-	16	-5	-6		0.75	0.64
3/03	H	Providence HS, NC	14-	7	7	3	++	-0.75	4.28
3/07	A	Western Guilford	6-	3	3	-2	++	0.75	4.97
3/08	A	Southeast Guilford	14-	7	7	8		0.75	-1.09
3/20	H	Panther Creek	12-	3	9	15	–––	-0.75	-6.26
3/23	H	East Chapel Hill	10-	12	-2	-4	+	-0.75	2.14
3/24	H	Myers Park	6-	10	-4	0	––	-0.75	-4.04
3/27	H	Green Hope	3-	8	-5	-2	–	-0.75	-2.50
3/29	H	Apex	7-	11	-4	-5		-0.75	0.88
4/03	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	11-	9	2	1		0.75	1.34
4/04	A	Riverside, NC	16-	4	12	11		0.75	1.34
4/09	H	Cary	13-	3	10	11		-0.75	-0.78
4/14	A	Cape Fear Academy	10-	6	4	5		0.75	-1.28
4/14	A	Hoggard	11-	9	2	2		0.75	0.47
4/18	H	Broughton	9-	8	1	2		-0.75	-1.38
4/20	H	North Mecklenburg	13-	12	1	-1	+	-0.75	2.05
4/23	H	W.G. Enloe	14-	11	3	4		-0.75	-1.30
4/24	A	Apex	9-	13	-4	-6	+	0.75	2.37
4/26	H	Chapel Hill	13-	14	-1	1		-0.75	-1.67
5/07	A	Chapel Hill	11-	12	-1	-1		0.75	-0.18
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	A	Riverside, NC	16-	4	-1.34
4/09	H	Cary	13-	3	0.78
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	977
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.98		Natl Power Rank	977
Natl SOS Rating	60.35		Natl SOS Rank	1025
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	651
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	690
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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