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Eaglecrest Raptors (3-10)

Region: CO Centen

State: CO

Coach: Michael Cesteros

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	LEWIS-PALMER (6-6)	CO Southn	73.2		L	3-	12		-0.125
3/14	at St. Mary's Academy, CO (4-8)	CO Metro	77.5		L	3-	17		0.000
3/16	EVERGREEN (2-10)	CO Jeffco	69.4		L	3-	21		-0.150
3/19	MOUNTAIN RANGE (0-10)	CO Indep	59.0		W	12-	0		0.125
3/21	at Smoky Hill (13-5)	CO Centen	84.7	6	L	3-	19		0.000
3/24	at Mullen (11-5)	CO Centen	84.7	7	L	3-	17		0.000
4/03	RANGEVIEW (0-10)	CO Contin	58.9		W	11-	4		0.100
4/05	at Columbine (9-6)	CO Jeffco	76.6		L	4-	14		0.000
4/09	at Grandview (5-9)	CO Centen	73.9		L	4-	13		0.000
4/11	CHERRY CREEK CLUB (9-4)	CO Indep	83.5		L	4-	14		0.000
4/14	OVERLAND (1-12)	CO Centen	63.0		W	6-	4		0.175
4/18	BOULDER (10-6)	CO Centen	78.9		L	0-	18		0.000
4/19	CHATFIELD (4-7)	CO Jeffco	70.5			-
4/21	at Cherokee Trail (5-10)	CO Centen	69.4		L	6-	8		-0.100
			68.4						0.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	H	Lewis-Palmer	3-	12	-9	-5	–	-1.27	-3.53
3/14	A	St. Mary's Academy, CO	3-	17	-14	-13		1.27	-0.75
3/16	H	Evergreen	3-	21	-18	-4	–––	-1.27	14.15
3/19	H	Mountain Range	12-	0	12	5	+++	-1.27	6.96
3/21	A	Smoky Hill	3-	19	-16	-19	+	1.27	3.42
3/24	A	Mullen	3-	17	-14	-19	++	1.27	4.88
4/03	H	Rangeview	11-	4	7	6		-1.27	0.55
4/05	A	Columbine	4-	14	-10	-11		1.27	1.14
4/09	A	Grandview	4-	13	-9	-11		1.27	1.72
4/11	H	Cherry Creek Club	4-	14	-10	-14	++	-1.27	4.39
4/14	H	Overland	6-	4	2	3		-1.27	-0.60
4/18	H	Boulder	0-	18	-18	-10	–––	-1.27	-7.56
4/21	A	Cherokee Trail	6-	8	-2	-6	+	1.27	3.54
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	A	St. Mary's Academy, CO	3-	17	0.75
3/16	H	Evergreen	3-	21	8.00
3/19	H	Mountain Range	12-	0	-2.00
3/21	A	Smoky Hill	3-	19	-3.42
3/24	A	Mullen	3-	17	-4.88
4/05	A	Columbine	4-	14	-1.14
4/11	H	Cherry Creek Club	4-	14	-4.39
4/18	H	Boulder	0-	18	8.00
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	65.		Natl CCR Rank	1607
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	64.63		Natl Power Rank	1607
Natl SOS Rating	53.56		Natl SOS Rank	1651
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	945
W-L Pct Rating	0.23		W-L Pct Rank	1549
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.0


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