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East Irondequoit Lancers (8-9)

Conference: MC

Region: NY B Sec 5

State: NY

Coach: Don Smith

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/30	vs. Churchville-Chili # (1-15)	NY A Sec 5	65.2		W	13-	5		0.050
4/03	vs. Spencerport # (4-13)	NY A Sec 5	71.6		W	6-	3		0.175
4/16	vs. Arcadia-Olympia # (0-17)	NY A Sec 5	64.3		W	13-	2		0.050
4/18	vs. Webster Schroeder # (6-12)	NY A Sec 5	72.4		W	13-	5		0.175
4/20	EAST ROCHESTER (16-5)	NY C Sec 5	89.3	5	L	2-	16		-0.025
4/23	GATES-CHILI (12-6)	NY A Sec 5	82.4		L	5-	15		-0.175
4/27	at Brockport (6-11)	NY A Sec 5	73.6		W	7-	6	ot	0.225
5/01	RUSH-HENRIETTA (12-7)	NY A Sec 5	89.6	4	L	4-	19		0.000
5/02	at Pittsford-Mendon (8-9)	NY A Sec 5	78.6		L	5-	7		-0.175
5/04	at Livonia (4-12)	NY C Sec 5	70.2		W	13-	5		0.175
5/08	at Honeoye Falls-Lima (14-4)	NY C Sec 5	87.3	8	L	1-	12		-0.050
5/10	WEBSTER THOMAS (13-5)	NY B Sec 5	87.3	7	L	5-	12		-0.100
5/12	LIVONIA (4-12)	NY C Sec 5	70.2		W	10-	4		0.125
5/14	at Churchville-Chili (1-15)	NY A Sec 5	65.2		W	17-	6		0.100
5/16	at Irondequoit (7-8)	NY B Sec 5	78.1		L	10-	11		-0.175
5/18	BRIGHTON, NY (18-2)	NY B Sec 5	92.9	1	L	3-	14		0.000
5/22	at Webster Thomas (13-5)	NY B Sec 5	87.3	7	L	4-	15		-0.050
# Neutral site			79.8						0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/30	N	Churchville-Chili	13-	5	8	8		0.00	0.49
4/03	N	Spencerport	6-	3	3	3		0.00	-0.13
4/16	N	Arcadia-Olympia	13-	2	11	8	+	0.00	2.56
4/18	N	Webster Schroeder	13-	5	8	3	++	0.00	5.15
4/20	H	East Rochester	2-	16	-14	-9	––	-1.02	-5.39
4/23	H	Gates-Chili	5-	15	-10	-3	–––	-1.02	-7.00
4/27	A	Brockport	7-	6	1	1		1.02	0.45
5/01	H	Rush-Henrietta	4-	19	-15	-10	––	-1.02	-5.41
5/02	A	Pittsford-Mendon	5-	7	-2	-3		1.02	0.99
5/04	A	Livonia	13-	5	8	3	++	1.02	4.71
5/08	A	Honeoye Falls-Lima	1-	12	-11	-8	–	1.02	-2.62
5/10	H	Webster Thomas	5-	12	-7	-6		-1.02	-0.55
5/12	H	Livonia	10-	4	6	5		-1.02	0.66
5/14	A	Churchville-Chili	17-	6	11	6	++	1.02	4.52
5/16	A	Irondequoit	10-	11	-1	-3		1.02	1.55
5/18	H	Brighton, NY	3-	14	-11	-14	+	-1.02	2.53
5/22	A	Webster Thomas	4-	15	-11	-8	–	1.02	-2.50
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	N	Arcadia-Olympia	13-	2	-1.00
4/20	H	East Rochester	2-	16	4.00
4/23	H	Gates-Chili	5-	15	0.00
5/01	H	Rush-Henrietta	4-	19	5.00
5/08	A	Honeoye Falls-Lima	1-	12	1.00
5/14	A	Churchville-Chili	17-	6	-1.00
5/18	H	Brighton, NY	3-	14	-2.53
5/22	A	Webster Thomas	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.38

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	708
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.30		Natl Power Rank	708
Natl SOS Rating	71.48		Natl SOS Rank	344
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	605
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1005
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.7


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