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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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East Chapel Hill Wildcats (19-4)

Region: NC E CenState: NCCoach: Liz MacNabb

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/01DURHAM ACADEMY (12-8)NC E Cen73.09W16-11 0.100  
3/05CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (9-8)NC East71.8W12- 2 0.075  
3/08at Chapel Hill (9-8)NC E Cen72.710W8- 5 0.150  
3/13at Apex (16-3)NC E Cen80.51W9- 8 0.275  
3/19W.G. ENLOE (5-13)NC East67.9W13- 3 0.025  
3/23at Durham Academy (12-8)NC E Cen73.09W12-10 0.150  
3/26at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (9-8)NC East71.8W9- 5 0.100  
3/28SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (2-16)NC W Cen66.3W14- 3 0.000  
4/01vs. Clarkstown South # (0-16)NY A Sec 170.2W13- 5 0.025  
4/02vs. Holy Cross, MD # (18-2)DC WCAC88.9L4-16 0.000  
4/04vs. Glen Cove # (2-11)NY B Sec 870.7W12- 5 0.050  
4/11BROUGHTON (11-8)NC East71.9W16- 6 0.075  
4/12GREEN HOPE (17-5)NC E Cen77.23L9-10 -0.300  
4/14at Hoggard (13-5)NC SE71.8W16- 6 0.100  
4/20APEX (16-3)NC E Cen80.51W12-11 0.250  
4/21MYERS PARK (18-6)NC West74.56W17-12 0.125  
4/21NORTH MECKLENBURG (18-5)NC West76.14W12-11 0.150  
4/24CHAPEL HILL (9-8)NC E Cen72.710W16- 6 0.100  
4/27at Green Hope (17-5)NC E Cen77.23L10-11 -0.275  
5/07BROUGHTON (11-8)NC East71.9W17-10 0.075  
5/12GREENSBORO DAY SCHOOL (14-4)NC W Cen73.48W4- 0 0.100  
5/19vs. Apex # (16-3)NC E Cen80.51L5- 9 -0.225  
5/19vs. Green Hope # (17-5)NC E Cen77.23W11- 5 0.200  
# Neutral site 75.4     1.33  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/01HDurham Academy16-115   6       -0.75       -0.64
3/05HCardinal Gibbons, NC12-210   7       +-0.75       2.96
3/08AChapel Hill8-53   4       0.75       -1.07
3/13AApex9-81   -1       +0.75       2.48
3/19HW.G. Enloe13-310   9       -0.75       0.81
3/23ADurham Academy12-102   4       0.75       -2.14
3/26ACardinal Gibbons, NC9-54   6       0.75       -1.55
3/28HSoutheast Guilford14-311   14       -0.75       -3.48
4/01NClarkstown South13-58   9       0.00       -0.69
4/02NHoly Cross, MD4-16-12   -10       0.00       -1.93
4/04NGlen Cove12-57   8       0.00       -1.18
4/11HBroughton16-610   7       +-0.75       2.73
4/12HGreen Hope9-10-1   2       -0.75       -3.39
4/14AHoggard16-610   6       +0.75       3.58
4/20HApex12-111   0       -0.75       0.99
4/21HMyers Park17-125   5       -0.75       0.06
4/21HNorth Mecklenburg12-111   4       -0.75       -2.84
4/24HChapel Hill16-610   6       ++-0.75       4.44
4/27AGreen Hope10-11-1   1       0.75       -1.90
5/07HBroughton17-107   7       -0.75       -0.27
5/12HGreensboro Day School4-04   6       -0.75       -1.85
5/19NApex5-9-4   -1       0.00       -3.27
5/19NGreen Hope11-56   2       ++0.00       4.35
         0.00-3.80

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/05HCardinal Gibbons, NC12-20.00
3/19HW.G. Enloe13-30.00
3/28HSoutheast Guilford14-33.48
4/02NHoly Cross, MD4-162.00
4/11HBroughton16-60.00
4/14AHoggard16-60.00
4/24HChapel Hill16-60.00
10-goal correction: 0.24

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 79.   Natl CCR Rank 469
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 78.85   Natl Power Rank 469
Natl SOS Rating 63.95   Natl SOS Rank 779
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.33   Natl Quality Win Rank 62
W-L Pct Rating 0.83   W-L Pct Rank 183
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 10-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 2.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 15-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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