High School Computer Ratings

East Chapel Hill Wildcats (19-4)

Region: NC E Cen

State: NC

Coach: Liz MacNabb

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/01	DURHAM ACADEMY (12-8)	NC E Cen	73.0	9	W	16-	11	0.100
3/05	CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (9-8)	NC East	71.8		W	12-	2	0.075
3/08	at Chapel Hill (9-8)	NC E Cen	72.7	10	W	8-	5	0.150
3/13	at Apex (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	W	9-	8	0.275
3/19	W.G. ENLOE (5-13)	NC East	67.9		W	13-	3	0.025
3/23	at Durham Academy (12-8)	NC E Cen	73.0	9	W	12-	10	0.150
3/26	at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (9-8)	NC East	71.8		W	9-	5	0.100
3/28	SOUTHEAST GUILFORD (2-16)	NC W Cen	66.3		W	14-	3	0.000
4/01	vs. Clarkstown South # (0-16)	NY A Sec 1	70.2		W	13-	5	0.025
4/02	vs. Holy Cross, MD # (18-2)	DC WCAC	88.9		L	4-	16	0.000
4/04	vs. Glen Cove # (2-11)	NY B Sec 8	70.7		W	12-	5	0.050
4/11	BROUGHTON (11-8)	NC East	71.9		W	16-	6	0.075
4/12	GREEN HOPE (17-5)	NC E Cen	77.2	3	L	9-	10	-0.300
4/14	at Hoggard (13-5)	NC SE	71.8		W	16-	6	0.100
4/20	APEX (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	W	12-	11	0.250
4/21	MYERS PARK (18-6)	NC West	74.5	6	W	17-	12	0.125
4/21	NORTH MECKLENBURG (18-5)	NC West	76.1	4	W	12-	11	0.150
4/24	CHAPEL HILL (9-8)	NC E Cen	72.7	10	W	16-	6	0.100
4/27	at Green Hope (17-5)	NC E Cen	77.2	3	L	10-	11	-0.275
5/07	BROUGHTON (11-8)	NC East	71.9		W	17-	10	0.075
5/12	GREENSBORO DAY SCHOOL (14-4)	NC W Cen	73.4	8	W	4-	0	0.100
5/19	vs. Apex # (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	5-	9	-0.225
5/19	vs. Green Hope # (17-5)	NC E Cen	77.2	3	W	11-	5	0.200
# Neutral site			75.4					1.33

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/01	H	Durham Academy	16-	11	5	6		-0.75	-0.64
3/05	H	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	12-	2	10	7	+	-0.75	2.96
3/08	A	Chapel Hill	8-	5	3	4		0.75	-1.07
3/13	A	Apex	9-	8	1	-1	+	0.75	2.48
3/19	H	W.G. Enloe	13-	3	10	9		-0.75	0.81
3/23	A	Durham Academy	12-	10	2	4	–	0.75	-2.14
3/26	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	9-	5	4	6		0.75	-1.55
3/28	H	Southeast Guilford	14-	3	11	14	–	-0.75	-3.48
4/01	N	Clarkstown South	13-	5	8	9		0.00		-0.69
4/02	N	Holy Cross, MD	4-	16	-12	-10		0.00		-1.93
4/04	N	Glen Cove	12-	5	7	8		0.00		-1.18
4/11	H	Broughton	16-	6	10	7	+	-0.75	2.73
4/12	H	Green Hope	9-	10	-1	2	–	-0.75	-3.39
4/14	A	Hoggard	16-	6	10	6	+	0.75	3.58
4/20	H	Apex	12-	11	1	0		-0.75	0.99
4/21	H	Myers Park	17-	12	5	5		-0.75	0.06
4/21	H	North Mecklenburg	12-	11	1	4	–	-0.75	-2.84
4/24	H	Chapel Hill	16-	6	10	6	++	-0.75	4.44
4/27	A	Green Hope	10-	11	-1	1		0.75	-1.90
5/07	H	Broughton	17-	10	7	7		-0.75	-0.27
5/12	H	Greensboro Day School	4-	0	4	6		-0.75	-1.85
5/19	N	Apex	5-	9	-4	-1	–	0.00	-3.27
5/19	N	Green Hope	11-	5	6	2	++	0.00	4.35
									0.00	-3.80