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Elizabeth Seton Road Runners (15-7)

Region: DC WCAC

State: MD

Coach: Meghan Sheperd

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	ELEANOR ROOSEVELT (0-3)	MD CALL	68.5		W	11-	5		0.000
3/24	at Annandale (12-6)	VA Pat	81.7		W	8-	7		0.300
3/24	vs. Woodbridge # (2-8)	VA NW AAA	65.6		W	15-	1		0.000
3/24	vs. West Potomac # (3-12)	VA Pat	69.6		W	11-	3		0.000
3/26	at Bishop O'Connell (8-9)	DC WCAC	81.4	10	W	10-	7		0.300
3/29	PAUL VI CATHOLIC, VA (5-10)	DC WCAC	79.4		L	5-	9		-0.300
4/02	at Bishop Ireton (13-9)	DC WCAC	84.2	7	L	4-	12		-0.125
4/03	FLINT HILL SCHOOL (2-10)	DC ISL AA	72.6		W	12-	2		0.050
4/10	at Maret School (1-9)	DC ISL AA	70.9		W	15-	4		0.050
4/14	vs. Bishop O'Connell # (8-9)	DC WCAC	81.4	10	L	5-	9		-0.225
4/14	vs. Osbourn Park # (14-5)	VA NW AAA	75.4		W	13-	1		0.100
4/17	at Holy Cross, MD (18-2)	DC WCAC	88.6	3	L	8-	14		-0.050
4/20	GOOD COUNSEL (17-3)	DC WCAC	91.5	2	L	3-	14		-0.075
4/21	vs. Inst. of Notre Dame # (5-11)	MD IAAM B	79.2		W	10-	6		0.200
4/21	at Mt. de Sales Academy (8-9)	MD IAAM A	91.2		L	3-	14		0.000
4/23	at St. John's College, DC (2-11)	DC WCAC	74.3		W	8-	7		0.150
4/27	ST. MARY'S RYKEN (2-9)	DC WCAC	73.0		W	13-	3		0.025
5/01	at Wilson, DC (0-2)	DC Indep	65.9		W	19-	7		0.000
5/02	at Bowie, MD (0-4)	MD CALL	67.5		W	14-	1		0.000
5/03	at Catholic High, Baltimo (16-2)	MD IAAM C	76.6		W	15-	5		0.175
5/08	at Bishop O'Connell (8-9)	DC WCAC	81.4	10	W	5-	4		0.300
5/10	at Good Counsel (17-3)	DC WCAC	91.5	2	L	5-	14		0.000
# Neutral site			80.2						0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	Eleanor Roosevelt	11-	5	6	15	–––	-2.09		-9.01
3/24	A	Annandale	8-	7	1	-2	+	1.27		2.54
3/24	N	Woodbridge	15-	1	14	16		0.00		-1.77
3/24	N	West Potomac	11-	3	8	12	–	0.00		-3.80
3/26	A	Bishop O'Connell	10-	7	3	-2	++	1.47	5.29
3/29	H	Paul VI Catholic, VA	5-	9	-4	2	––	-1.47	-5.96
4/02	A	Bishop Ireton	4-	12	-8	-5	–	1.47	-3.20
4/03	H	Flint Hill School	12-	2	10	8		-1.47	1.81
4/10	A	Maret School	15-	4	11	8	+	1.47	3.47
4/14	N	Bishop O'Connell	5-	9	-4	-1	–	0.00	-3.17
4/14	N	Osbourn Park	13-	1	12	6	+++	0.00		6.03
4/17	A	Holy Cross, MD	8-	14	-6	-8	+	1.47	2.25
4/20	H	Good Counsel	3-	14	-11	-7	–	-1.47	-3.69
4/21	N	Inst. of Notre Dame	10-	6	4	2		0.00		1.76
4/21	A	Mt. de Sales Academy	3-	14	-11	-11		1.16		-0.02
4/23	A	St. John's College, DC	8-	7	1	4	–	1.47	-2.63
4/27	H	St. Mary's Ryken	13-	3	10	9		-1.47	1.48
5/01	A	Wilson, DC	19-	7	12	12		1.47	-0.19
5/02	A	Bowie, MD	14-	1	13	12		2.09		1.18
5/03	A	Catholic High, Baltimo	15-	5	10	3	+++	1.68		6.89
5/08	A	Bishop O'Connell	5-	4	1	-2	+	1.47	3.29
5/10	A	Good Counsel	5-	14	-9	-10		1.47	1.24
									0.00	3.80

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	N	Woodbridge	15-	1	1.77
4/03	H	Flint Hill School	12-	2	0.00
4/10	A	Maret School	15-	4	-1.00
4/14	N	Osbourn Park	13-	1	-2.00
4/20	H	Good Counsel	3-	14	1.00
4/21	A	Mt. de Sales Academy	3-	14	0.02
4/27	H	St. Mary's Ryken	13-	3	0.00
5/01	A	Wilson, DC	19-	7	0.19
5/02	A	Bowie, MD	14-	1	-1.18
5/03	A	Catholic High, Baltimo	15-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	308
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.39		Natl Power Rank	308
Natl SOS Rating	72.92		Natl SOS Rank	289
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	184
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	486
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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