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Ellington Knights (2-13)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: St. John

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	SOMERS, CT (11-8)	CT Div 1	77.8		L	5-	12		0.000
4/10	at Suffield HS (7-8)	CT Div 2	74.2		L	7-	10		-0.100
4/24	at Windsor (2-11)	CT Div 2	69.3		L	5-	9		-0.200
4/25	at Avon (11-6)	CT Div 1	79.4		L	2-	18		0.000
4/30	WHEELER, CT (1-9)	CT Div 2	66.6		L	6-	8		-0.275
5/03	SUFFIELD HS (7-8)	CT Div 2	74.2		L	4-	10		-0.150
5/05	at Shelton (1-14)	CT Div 2	66.1		L	5-	7		-0.250
5/07	at Valley Regional (8-8)	CT Div 2	70.1		L	3-	9		-0.200
5/08	at Granby Memorial (7-8)	CT Div 1	71.6		L	7-	9	ot	-0.175
5/10	FARMINGTON (9-7)	CT Div 2	74.4		L	3-	8		-0.150
5/15	EAST CATHOLIC CLUB (4-11)	CT Div 2	66.8		W	9-	4		0.200
5/17	AVON (11-6)	CT Div 1	79.4		L	4-	19		0.000
5/19	at Wheeler, CT (1-9)	CT Div 2	66.6			-
5/21	HOUSATONIC VALLEY (0-11)	CT Div 2	59.8		W	15-	2		0.075
5/23	at Somers, CT (11-8)	CT Div 1	77.8		L	4-	10		0.000
5/24	GRANBY MEMORIAL (7-8)	CT Div 1	71.6		L	6-	9		-0.200
			68.4						-1.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Somers, CT	5-	12	-7	-10	+	-0.72	2.64
4/10	A	Suffield HS	7-	10	-3	-6	+	0.72	2.71
4/24	A	Windsor	5-	9	-4	-2		0.72	-1.57
4/25	A	Avon	2-	18	-16	-13	–	0.72	-2.56
4/30	H	Wheeler, CT	6-	8	-2	1	–	-0.72	-3.26
5/03	H	Suffield HS	4-	10	-6	-4		-0.72	-1.74
5/05	A	Shelton	5-	7	-2	0	–	0.72	-2.36
5/07	A	Valley Regional	3-	9	-6	-2	––	0.72	-4.45
5/08	A	Granby Memorial	7-	9	-2	-3		0.72	1.47
5/10	H	Farmington	3-	8	-5	-4		-0.72	-0.84
5/15	H	East Catholic Club	9-	4	5	2	+	-0.72	3.12
5/17	H	Avon	4-	19	-15	-12	–	-0.72	-3.00
5/21	H	Housatonic Valley	15-	2	13	7	++	-0.72	5.73
5/23	A	Somers, CT	4-	10	-6	-11	++	0.72	5.08
5/24	H	Granby Memorial	6-	9	-3	-2		-0.72	-0.97
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/25	A	Avon	2-	18	2.56
5/17	H	Avon	4-	19	3.00
5/21	H	Housatonic Valley	15-	2	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1406
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.47		Natl Power Rank	1406
Natl SOS Rating	53.09		Natl SOS Rank	1676
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	2131
W-L Pct Rating	0.13		W-L Pct Rank	1728
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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