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Ellis School Tigers (3-9)

Region: PA WP D4State: PACoach: Kristen LaPlace

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27SETON-LA SALLE (12-7)PA WP D380.44L1-15 0.000  
3/30at Upper St. Clair (12-8)PA WP D379.85L3-17 0.000  
4/04FRANKLIN REGIONAL, PA (14-7)PA WP D479.26L4-16 0.000  
4/05WINCHESTER THURSTON (2-12)PA WP D466.4W13- 6 0.150  
4/10YOUGH (6-11)PA WP D468.8W11- 9 0.175  
4/18OAKLAND CATHOLIC, PA (14-6)PA WP D474.310L6-10 -0.150  
4/24at Winchester Thurston (2-12)PA WP D466.4W11- 9 0.225  
4/30at Latrobe (15-5)PA WP D473.0L6-16 -0.125  
5/01at Yough (6-11)PA WP D468.8L7- 9 -0.250  
5/03LATROBE (15-5)PA WP D473.0L8-12 -0.175  
5/07at Oakland Catholic, PA (14-6)PA WP D474.310L4- 9 -0.075  
5/17at Franklin Regional, PA (14-7)PA WP D479.26L4-16 0.000  
 71.2     -0.23  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HSeton-La Salle1-15-14   -14       -1.13       -0.30
3/30AUpper St. Clair3-17-14   -15       1.13       1.13
4/04HFranklin Regional, PA4-16-12   -12       -1.13       0.03
4/05HWinchester Thurston13-67   4       +-1.13       3.30
4/10HYough11-92   3       -1.13       -0.60
4/18HOakland Catholic, PA6-10-4   -4       -1.13       0.30
4/24AWinchester Thurston11-92   1       1.13       0.57
4/30ALatrobe6-16-10   -5       ––1.13       -4.85
5/01AYough7-9-2   0       –1.13       -2.34
5/03HLatrobe8-12-4   -3       -1.13       -1.11
5/07AOakland Catholic, PA4-9-5   -7       1.13       1.57
5/17AFranklin Regional, PA4-16-12   -14       +1.13       2.30
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27HSeton-La Salle1-150.30
3/30AUpper St. Clair3-17-1.13
4/04HFranklin Regional, PA4-16-0.03
4/30ALatrobe6-160.00
5/17AFranklin Regional, PA4-16-2.30
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 69.   Natl CCR Rank 1314
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 68.90   Natl Power Rank 1314
Natl SOS Rating 57.46   Natl SOS Rank 1297
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.23   Natl Quality Win Rank 1413
W-L Pct Rating 0.25   W-L Pct Rank 1536
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 3-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -10.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -9.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -7.0



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