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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Ephrata Mountaineers (2-12)

Region: PA LLLState: PACoach: Katie Bergstrom

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/28WARWICK, PA (8-4)PA LLL78.4L6-11 -0.100  
3/29LOWER DAUPHIN (5-9)PA Indep70.2W17- 6 0.175  
3/30at Lampeter-Strasburg (3-6)PA LLL76.4L4-12 -0.175  
4/03at Cocalico (2-7)PA LLL77.1L10-17 -0.125  
4/05CONESTOGA VALLEY (11-6)PA LLL78.2L13-16 -0.125  
4/10at Manheim Township (13-2)PA LLL79.5L9-21 0.000  
4/13CEDAR CREST (0-13)PA LLL65.7W13-10 0.150  
4/16at Carlisle (8-8)PA Indep77.5L9-15 -0.125  
4/17at Lancaster CDS, PA (3-2)PA LLL78.1L8-15 -0.075  
4/20HEMPFIELD, LANDISVILLE (7-6)PA LLL78.3L10-12 -0.100  
4/24at Penn Manor (12-2)PA LLL81.3L3-16 0.000  
4/26at Warwick, PA (8-4)PA LLL78.4L8-16 -0.050  
5/01LAMPETER-STRASBURG (3-6)PA LLL76.4L17-18ot-0.225  
5/04COCALICO (2-7)PA LLL77.1-    
5/09at Conestoga Valley (11-6)PA LLL78.2L11-21 -0.075  
5/11vs. Lower Dauphin # (5-9)PA Indep70.2-    
# Neutral site 72.5     -0.85  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/28HWarwick, PA6-11-5   -6       -1.07       0.66
3/29HLower Dauphin17-611   3       +++-1.07       7.72
3/30ALampeter-Strasburg4-12-8   -3       ––1.07       -5.35
4/03ACocalico10-17-7   -5       1.07       -1.57
4/05HConestoga Valley13-16-3   -5       +-1.07       2.06
4/10AManheim Township9-21-12   -10       1.07       -1.81
4/13HCedar Crest13-103   4       -1.07       -0.81
4/16ACarlisle9-15-6   -5       1.07       -0.57
4/17ALancaster CDS, PA8-15-7   -7       1.07       -0.16
4/20HHempfield, Landisville10-12-2   -6       +-1.07       3.73
4/24APenn Manor3-16-13   -13       1.07       -0.38
4/26AWarwick, PA8-16-8   -8       1.07       -0.20
5/01HLampeter-Strasburg17-18-1   -1       -1.07       -0.50
5/09AConestoga Valley11-21-10   -7       1.07       -2.80
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/29HLower Dauphin17-6-1.00
4/10AManheim Township9-212.00
4/24APenn Manor3-160.38
5/09AConestoga Valley11-210.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 72.   Natl CCR Rank 1038
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 72.21   Natl Power Rank 1038
Natl SOS Rating 59.10   Natl SOS Rank 1147
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.85   Natl Quality Win Rank 2000
W-L Pct Rating 0.14   W-L Pct Rank 1720
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 2-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.3



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