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Essex Junction Hornets (2-13)

Region: VT DI

State: VT

Coach: Emily Danis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/19	MT. MANSFIELD UNION (10-5)	VT DI	73.5	3	L	0-	12		-0.125
4/20	SPAULDING, VT (5-10)	VT DI	71.5	9	L	7-	10		-0.200
5/01	BURLINGTON, VT (3-12)	VT DII	67.6		L	6-	12		-0.300
5/04	at Middlebury Union (14-3)	VT DI	75.9	2	L	13-	16		-0.025
5/07	at Champlain Valley Union (7-7)	VT DI	71.8	6	L	8-	13		-0.150
5/09	SOUTH BURLINGTON (17-1)	VT DI	78.5	1	L	4-	11		-0.025
5/12	CHAMPLAIN VALLEY UNION (7-7)	VT DI	71.8	6	L	6-	11		-0.200
5/14	MT. MANSFIELD UNION (10-5)	VT DI	73.5	3	L	8-	12		-0.125
5/17	SPAULDING, VT (5-10)	VT DI	71.5	9	W	11-	9		0.300
5/18	at Brattleboro Union (5-10)	VT DI	67.4		L	9-	13		-0.275
5/19	at Burlington, VT (3-12)	VT DII	67.6		W	11-	6		0.250
5/21	RUTLAND (12-5)	VT DI	72.5	5	L	7-	8		-0.150
5/23	MIDDLEBURY UNION (14-3)	VT DI	75.9	2	L	8-	16		-0.075
5/26	at South Burlington (17-1)	VT DI	78.5	1	L	8-	11		0.000
5/30	at Woodstock Union (8-8)	VT DI	71.8	7	L	11-	15	ot	-0.150
			72.8						-1.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/19	H	Mt. Mansfield Union	0-	12	-12	-5	–––	-1.03	-6.78
4/20	H	Spaulding, VT	7-	10	-3	-2		-1.03	-1.42
5/01	H	Burlington, VT	6-	12	-6	2	–––	-1.03	-8.47
5/04	A	Middlebury Union	13-	16	-3	-9	+++	1.03	6.18
5/07	A	Champlain Valley Union	8-	13	-5	-4		1.03	-1.36
5/09	H	South Burlington	4-	11	-7	-9		-1.03	1.62
5/12	H	Champlain Valley Union	6-	11	-5	-2	–	-1.03	-3.42
5/14	H	Mt. Mansfield Union	8-	12	-4	-5		-1.03	1.22
5/17	H	Spaulding, VT	11-	9	2	-2	+	-1.03	3.58
5/18	A	Brattleboro Union	9-	13	-4	1	––	1.03	-5.20
5/19	A	Burlington, VT	11-	6	5	0	++	1.03	4.60
5/21	H	Rutland	7-	8	-1	-4	+	-1.03	2.98
5/23	H	Middlebury Union	8-	16	-8	-7		-1.03	-0.89
5/26	A	South Burlington	8-	11	-3	-11	+++	1.03	7.69
5/30	A	Woodstock Union	11-	15	-4	-4		1.03	-0.33
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/19	H	Mt. Mansfield Union	0-	12	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1253
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.42		Natl Power Rank	1253
Natl SOS Rating	59.54		Natl SOS Rank	1107
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	2117
W-L Pct Rating	0.13		W-L Pct Rank	1733
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-11		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-13		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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