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Exeter Area HS Blue Hawks (4-12)

Region: NH D1

State: NH

Coach: Karlyn Supple

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/10	PINKERTON ACADEMY (16-2)	NH D1	84.0	1	L	2-	11		-0.050
4/13	NASHUA SOUTH (16-5)	NH D1	82.4	5	L	7-	14		-0.075
4/20	SOUHEGAN (16-2)	NH D1	83.6	2	L	6-	17		-0.075
4/21	at Londonderry (14-4)	NH D1	80.8	6	L	4-	13		-0.050
4/24	at Keene (1-14)	NH D1	55.2		W	14-	3		0.025
4/27	LONDONDERRY (14-4)	NH D1	80.8	6	L	5-	8		-0.100
4/28	at Bow (16-2)	NH D2	82.6	3	L	9-	15		-0.025
5/01	at Nashua North (3-12)	NH D1	62.4		W	15-	7		0.175
5/04	at Manchester Memorial (0-14)	NH D1	54.0		W	13-	2		0.000
5/05	at Concord, NH (9-8)	NH D1	79.2	8	L	5-	18		-0.050
5/08	MANCHESTER WEST (9-7)	NH D1	66.9		L	7-	15		-0.275
5/10	at Salem, NH (10-7)	NH D1	71.8		L	8-	13		-0.150
5/11	MANCHESTER CENTRAL (4-11)	NH D1	63.8			-
5/18	at Pinkerton Academy (16-2)	NH D1	84.0	1	L	5-	13		0.000
5/21	KEENE (1-14)	NH D1	55.2		W	22-	6		0.000
5/23	HANOVER, NH (15-2)	NH D2	82.5	4	L	7-	15		-0.075
5/31	at Pinkerton Academy (16-2)	NH D1	84.0	1	L	6-	14		0.000
			77.6						-0.72

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/10	H	Pinkerton Academy	2-	11	-9	-8		-0.84	-0.87
4/13	H	Nashua South	7-	14	-7	-7		-0.84	0.32
4/20	H	Souhegan	6-	17	-11	-7	–	-0.84	-3.92
4/21	A	Londonderry	4-	13	-9	-8		0.84	-1.48
4/24	A	Keene	14-	3	11	9		0.84	1.95
4/27	H	Londonderry	5-	8	-3	-6	+	-0.84	2.83
4/28	A	Bow	9-	15	-6	-9	+	0.84	2.85
5/01	A	Nashua North	15-	7	8	3	++	0.84	5.07
5/04	A	Manchester Memorial	13-	2	11	10		0.84	1.08
5/05	A	Concord, NH	5-	18	-13	-8	––	0.84	-5.23
5/08	H	Manchester West	7-	15	-8	1	–––	-0.84	-8.99
5/10	A	Salem, NH	8-	13	-5	-4		0.84	-1.23
5/18	A	Pinkerton Academy	5-	13	-8	-10		0.84	1.82
5/21	H	Keene	22-	6	16	11	++	-0.84	5.27
5/23	H	Hanover, NH	7-	15	-8	-7		-0.84	-1.29
5/31	A	Pinkerton Academy	6-	14	-8	-10		0.84	1.82
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	H	Souhegan	6-	17	1.00
4/24	A	Keene	14-	3	-1.00
5/04	A	Manchester Memorial	13-	2	-1.09
5/05	A	Concord, NH	5-	18	3.00
5/21	H	Keene	22-	6	-5.27
10-goal correction: -0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	66.		Natl CCR Rank	1524
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	65.99		Natl Power Rank	1524
Natl SOS Rating	67.97		Natl SOS Rank	543
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.72		Natl Quality Win Rank	1921
W-L Pct Rating	0.25		W-L Pct Rank	1519
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-12		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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