| Conference: L1 | Region: NY A Sec 8 | State: NY | Coach: Tracy Wiener |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/22 | at North Babylon (11-6) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.0 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.150 |
3/27 | FRIENDS ACADEMY (10-8) | NY C Sec 8 | 86.3 | 9 | W | 23- | 10 | | 0.000 |
3/30 | LYNBROOK (4-9) | NY B Sec 8 | 81.7 | | W | 22- | 11 | | 0.000 |
4/04 | at West Babylon (11-8) | NY A Sec 11 | 89.5 | | W | 11- | 10 | | 0.150 |
4/07 | at McDonogh School (19-2) | MD IAAM A | 98.7 | | L | 3- | 8 | | -0.125 |
4/09 | at Oceanside (5-12) | NY A Sec 8 | 83.6 | | W | 20- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | at Wantagh (13-4) | NY B Sec 8 | 91.2 | 4 | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.175 |
4/18 | at Manhasset (11-6) | NY C Sec 8 | 91.5 | 3 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.225 |
4/21 | vs. Rocky Point # (19-1) | NY B Sec 11 | 93.8 | | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.250 |
4/24 | MASSAPEQUA (8-5) | NY A Sec 8 | 89.4 | 5 | W | 13- | 9 | | 0.100 |
5/02 | at Mineola (4-12) | NY C Sec 8 | 81.7 | | W | 16- | 6 | | 0.000 |
5/04 | at Garden City (20-1) | NY B Sec 8 | 95.8 | 1 | L | 7- | 16 | | -0.200 |
5/08 | PLAINEDGE (9-5) | NY B Sec 8 | 87.5 | 6 | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.025 |
5/09 | at Port Washington (1-11) | NY A Sec 8 | 81.4 | | W | 22- | 9 | | 0.000 |
5/14 | NORTH SHORE, NY (9-7) | NY C Sec 8 | 86.6 | 8 | W | 20- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/23 | SYOSSET (9-5) | NY A Sec 8 | 82.7 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.000 |
5/30 | vs. Massapequa # (8-5) | NY A Sec 8 | 89.4 | 5 | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.100 |
6/03 | vs. Ward Melville # (18-2) | NY A Sec 11 | 91.6 | | W | 14- | 11 | | 0.175 |
6/08 | vs. Penfield # (19-2) | NY A Sec 5 | 91.4 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.175 |
6/09 | vs. West Genesee # (24-0) | NY A Sec 3 | **** | | L | 4- | 8 | | -0.025 |
| # Neutral site | | 88.3 | | | | | | 0.68 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/22 | A | North Babylon | 12- | 5 | 7 | 4 | + | 0.71 | | 2.52 |
3/27 | H | Friends Academy | 23- | 10 | 13 | 10 | + | -0.62 | 2.77 | |
3/30 | H | Lynbrook | 22- | 11 | 11 | 14 | – | -0.62 | -2.83 | |
4/04 | A | West Babylon | 11- | 10 | 1 | 4 | – | 0.71 | | -2.97 |
4/07 | A | McDonogh School | 3- | 8 | -5 | -5 | | 0.74 | | 0.26 |
4/09 | A | Oceanside | 20- | 5 | 15 | 11 | ++ | 0.62 | 4.50 | |
4/10 | A | Wantagh | 11- | 3 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 0.62 | 4.78 | |
4/18 | A | Manhasset | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | 0.62 | -0.21 | |
4/21 | N | Rocky Point | 7- | 9 | -2 | 0 | – | 0.00 | | -2.32 |
4/24 | H | Massapequa | 13- | 9 | 4 | 6 | – | -0.62 | -2.28 | |
5/02 | A | Mineola | 16- | 6 | 10 | 12 | | 0.62 | -1.77 | |
5/04 | A | Garden City | 7- | 16 | -9 | -2 | ––– | 0.62 | -6.60 | |
5/08 | H | Plainedge | 13- | 5 | 8 | 9 | | -0.62 | -1.04 | |
5/09 | A | Port Washington | 22- | 9 | 13 | 12 | | 0.62 | 1.13 | |
5/14 | H | North Shore, NY | 20- | 4 | 16 | 10 | +++ | -0.62 | 6.13 | |
5/23 | H | Syosset | 17- | 4 | 13 | 14 | | -0.62 | -0.91 | |
5/30 | N | Massapequa | 11- | 9 | 2 | 6 | – | 0.00 | -3.66 | |
6/03 | N | Ward Melville | 14- | 11 | 3 | 3 | | 0.00 | | 0.44 |
6/08 | N | Penfield | 8- | 5 | 3 | 3 | | 0.00 | | 0.25 |
6/09 | N | West Genesee | 4- | 8 | -4 | -9 | ++ | 0.00 | | 4.83 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.01 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/27 | H | Friends Academy | 23- | 10 | -2.77 |
3/30 | H | Lynbrook | 22- | 11 | 2.83 |
4/09 | A | Oceanside | 20- | 5 | -4.50 |
5/02 | A | Mineola | 16- | 6 | 1.77 |
5/09 | A | Port Washington | 22- | 9 | -1.13 |
5/14 | H | North Shore, NY | 20- | 4 | -6.13 |
5/23 | H | Syosset | 17- | 4 | 0.91 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.45 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 192. | | Natl CCR Rank | 12 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 98. | | Natl Poll Rank | 14 |
| Natl Power Rating | 94.17 | | Natl Power Rank | 12 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 87.77 | | Natl SOS Rank | 25 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.68 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 310 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.80 | | W-L Pct Rank | 244 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 7-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 5.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 12-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 8.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
|
