High School Computer Ratings

Fitch Falcons (8-10)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Pat Semancik

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
4/07	EAST LYME (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	1-	15	0.000
4/10	at Stonington (15-3)	CT Div 2	77.5		L	6-	11	-0.150
4/14	NORWICH FREE ACADEMY (6-8)	CT Div 1	74.6		W	9-	6	0.250
4/16	at Worcester Academy, MA (4-7)	NE	71.6			-
4/21	at Morgan School (6-8)	CT Div 2	71.8		L	11-	13	-0.300
4/23	at St. Bernard, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	72.1		W	10-	6	0.225
4/25	at North Branford (9-6)	CT Div 2	73.8		L	7-	10	-0.250
4/26	at Ledyard (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	15-	6	0.150
4/30	at East Lyme (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	5-	17	0.000
5/03	STONINGTON (15-3)	CT Div 2	77.5		L	8-	10	-0.175
5/07	OLD LYME (13-3)	CT Div 2	78.9		L	5-	9	-0.125
5/08	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (3-7)	CT Div 2	68.4		W	12-	3	0.125
5/10	WHEELER, CT (1-9)	CT Div 2	66.6		W	10-	7	0.100
5/11	at Norwich Free Academy (6-8)	CT Div 1	74.6		L	8-	9	-0.225
5/15	ST. BERNARD, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	72.1		W	9-	7	0.200
5/22	at East Lyme (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	3-	18	0.000
5/25	LEDYARD (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	16-	6	0.125
5/31	at Valley Regional (8-8)	CT Div 2	70.1		W	12-	10	0.150
6/06	at Stonington (15-3)	CT Div 2	77.5		L	5-	9	-0.150
			70.8					-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	H	East Lyme	1-	15	-14	-10	–	-0.72	-3.72
4/10	A	Stonington	6-	11	-5	-4		0.72	-0.89
4/14	H	Norwich Free Academy	9-	6	3	0	+	-0.72	2.63
4/21	A	Morgan School	11-	13	-2	2	–	0.72	-3.52
4/23	A	St. Bernard, CT	10-	6	4	1	+	0.72	3.00
4/25	A	North Branford	7-	10	-3	0	–	0.72	-3.36
4/26	A	Ledyard	15-	6	9	4	++	0.72	5.03
4/30	A	East Lyme	5-	17	-12	-12		0.72	-0.27
5/03	H	Stonington	8-	10	-2	-3		-0.72	0.67
5/07	H	Old Lyme	5-	9	-4	-5		-0.72	0.57
5/08	H	Woodstock Academy	12-	3	9	5	+	-0.72	3.90
5/10	H	Wheeler, CT	10-	7	3	6	–	-0.72	-3.44
5/11	A	Norwich Free Academy	8-	9	-1	-1		0.72	0.07
5/15	H	St. Bernard, CT	9-	7	2	2		-0.72	-0.44
5/22	A	East Lyme	3-	18	-15	-12	–	0.72	-3.27
5/25	H	Ledyard	16-	6	10	5	++	-0.72	4.58
5/31	A	Valley Regional	12-	10	2	4		0.72	-1.63
6/06	A	Stonington	5-	9	-4	-4		0.72	0.11
									0.00	0.00