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Forest Park Bruins (10-4)

Region: VA NW AAA

State: VA

Coach: Bill Clark

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	BATTLEFIELD (9-7)	VA NW AAA	69.3		W	13-	6		0.150
4/12	STONEWALL JACKSON (0-5)	VA NW AAA	62.2		W	17-	2		0.000
4/19	OSBOURN PARK (14-5)	VA NW AAA	75.4		L	0-	15		-0.100
4/20	OSBOURN HS (9-6)	VA NW AAA	69.4		W	7-	5	ot	0.150
4/23	at C.D. Hylton (5-4)	VA NW AAA	67.5		W	12-	8		0.125
4/26	WOODBRIDGE (2-8)	VA NW AAA	65.6		W	11-	4		0.075
4/30	at Gar-Field (0-8)	VA NW AAA	57.3		W	20-	4		0.000
5/01	at Dominion (11-7)	VA NW AA	75.6		L	6-	16		0.000
5/07	at Potomac HS (2-7)	VA NW AAA	64.3		W	16-	6		0.075
5/15	vs. Potomac HS # (2-7)	VA NW AAA	64.3		W	13-	4		0.050
5/17	vs. C.D. Hylton # (5-4)	VA NW AAA	67.5		W	14-	3		0.100
5/23	PATRICK HENRY, VA (7-14)	VA NW AAA	69.6		W	6-	5		0.200
5/25	ALBEMARLE (9-9)	VA NW AAA	75.3		L	5-	10		-0.075
5/29	at Broad Run (16-2)	VA NW AA	79.4		L	6-	18		0.000
# Neutral site			69.0						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Battlefield	13-	6	7	4	+	-1.07	3.14
4/12	H	Stonewall Jackson	17-	2	15	13	+	-1.07	2.42
4/19	H	Osbourn Park	0-	15	-15	-6	–––	-1.07	-8.68
4/20	H	Osbourn HS	7-	5	2	4	–	-1.07	-2.25
4/23	A	C.D. Hylton	12-	8	4	5		1.07	-0.94
4/26	H	Woodbridge	11-	4	7	7		-1.07	-0.27
4/30	A	Gar-Field	20-	4	16	18		1.07	-1.53
5/01	A	Dominion	6-	16	-10	-10		1.07	-0.37
5/07	A	Potomac HS	16-	6	10	7	+	1.07	3.00
5/15	N	Potomac HS	13-	4	9	8		0.00	0.94
5/17	N	C.D. Hylton	14-	3	11	6	++	0.00	4.99
5/23	H	Patrick Henry, VA	6-	5	1	2		-1.07	-0.76
5/25	H	Albemarle	5-	10	-5	-7	+	-1.07	2.02
5/29	A	Broad Run	6-	18	-12	-10		1.07	-1.70
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	H	Stonewall Jackson	17-	2	-2.42
4/19	H	Osbourn Park	0-	15	5.00
4/30	A	Gar-Field	20-	4	1.53
5/01	A	Dominion	6-	16	0.00
5/07	A	Potomac HS	16-	6	0.00
5/17	N	C.D. Hylton	14-	3	-1.00
5/29	A	Broad Run	6-	18	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	1199
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.12		Natl Power Rank	1199
Natl SOS Rating	54.56		Natl SOS Rank	1576
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	240
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	412
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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