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Freedom-South Riding (4-10)

Region: VA NW AA

State: VA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	BRIAR WOODS (2-12)	VA NW AA	66.1		W	7-	6		0.200
3/15	at Loudoun County (6-8)	VA NW AA	70.0		L	4-	14		-0.075
3/21	J.E.B. STUART (1-8)	VA Natl	61.9		W	11-	1		0.050
3/22	at Briar Woods (2-12)	VA NW AA	66.1		W	7-	2		0.250
3/26	GEORGE MASON (8-6)	VA NW AA	69.8		L	8-	9		-0.150
3/29	HERITAGE (7-5)	VA NW AA	70.5		L	4-	14		-0.100
4/09	at Dominion (11-7)	VA NW AA	75.6		L	2-	19		0.000
4/19	at Broad Run (16-2)	VA NW AA	79.4		L	2-	14		0.000
4/23	LOUDOUN COUNTY (6-8)	VA NW AA	70.0		L	6-	12		-0.150
4/25	at Liberty-Bealton, VA (9-5)	VA NW AA	70.2		L	9-	14		-0.075
4/30	PARK VIEW (0-10)	VA NW AA	62.5			-
5/03	POTOMAC FALLS (8-7)	VA NW AA	70.5		L	5-	14		-0.125
5/05	LOUDOUN VALLEY (17-3)	VA Natl	83.5	9	L	5-	15		0.000
5/07	at Brentsville District (1-8)	VA NW AA	65.3		W	12-	11	3ot	0.225
5/10	at Dominion (11-7)	VA NW AA	75.6		L	1-	22		0.000
			72.0						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	Briar Woods	7-	6	1	2		-1.07	-0.68
3/15	A	Loudoun County	4-	14	-10	-7	–	1.07	-3.43
3/21	H	J.E.B. Stuart	11-	1	10	8		-1.07	1.68
3/22	A	Briar Woods	7-	2	5	0	++	1.07	5.45
3/26	H	George Mason	8-	9	-1	-4	+	-1.07	2.91
3/29	H	Heritage	4-	14	-10	-6	––	-1.07	-4.04
4/09	A	Dominion	2-	19	-17	-15	–	1.07	-2.47
4/19	A	Broad Run	2-	14	-12	-15	+	1.07	3.20
4/23	H	Loudoun County	6-	12	-6	-4		-1.07	-1.56
4/25	A	Liberty-Bealton, VA	9-	14	-5	-7		1.07	1.87
5/03	H	Potomac Falls	5-	14	-9	-5	–	-1.07	-3.60
5/05	H	Loudoun Valley	5-	15	-10	-17	+++	-1.07	6.70
5/07	A	Brentsville District	12-	11	1	1		1.07	0.43
5/10	A	Dominion	1-	22	-21	-15	–––	1.07	-6.47
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	A	Loudoun County	4-	14	0.00
3/21	H	J.E.B. Stuart	11-	1	0.00
3/29	H	Heritage	4-	14	0.00
4/09	A	Dominion	2-	19	2.47
4/19	A	Broad Run	2-	14	-3.20
5/05	H	Loudoun Valley	5-	15	-6.70
5/10	A	Dominion	1-	22	6.47
10-goal correction: -0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1448
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	66.98		Natl Power Rank	1448
Natl SOS Rating	58.79		Natl SOS Rank	1173
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	908
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1449
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.0


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