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Fox Chapel Area Foxes (9-9)

Region: PA WP D2

State: PA

Coach: Bridget Bly

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	at Seneca Valley, PA (15-3)	PA WP D1	77.1	8	L	6-	9		-0.150
3/29	PINE-RICHLAND (11-4)	PA WP D1	76.3	9	L	7-	9		-0.225
3/30	KNOCH (2-16)	PA WP D2	67.1		W	15-	1		0.025
4/10	QUAKER VALLEY (15-5)	PA WP D2	78.9	7	L	5-	9		-0.150
4/12	at Hampton Township (2-15)	PA WP D2	70.6		W	11-	9		0.200
4/17	at Butler Area (4-9)	PA WP D1	71.4		W	8-	7		0.200
4/19	VINCENTIAN ACADEMY (12-9)	PA WP D2	73.7		L	4-	6		-0.300
4/20	at North Allegheny (9-10)	PA WP D1	73.5		W	3-	2		0.275
4/24	SHADY SIDE ACADEMY (5-8)	PA WP D2	73.6		L	8-	10		-0.275
4/26	at Knoch (2-16)	PA WP D2	67.1		W	10-	5		0.075
4/27	PETERS TOWNSHIP (21-1)	PA WP D3	86.2	1	L	5-	17		0.000
5/01	SEWICKLEY ACADEMY (15-7)	PA WP D2	80.7	3	L	4-	13		-0.075
5/03	at Quaker Valley (15-5)	PA WP D2	78.9	7	L	3-	12		-0.100
5/07	HAMPTON TOWNSHIP (2-15)	PA WP D2	70.6		W	12-	9		0.150
5/11	at Shaler Area (8-7)	PA WP D1	73.5		W	11-	10	ot	0.250
5/14	at Sewickley Academy (15-7)	PA WP D2	80.7	3	L	4-	17		0.000
5/15	at Vincentian Academy (12-9)	PA WP D2	73.7		W	10-	7		0.250
5/17	at Shady Side Academy (5-8)	PA WP D2	73.6		W	10-	4		0.275
5/21	at Winchester Thurston (2-12)	PA WP D4	66.4			-
			72.5						0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	A	Seneca Valley, PA	6-	9	-3	-4		1.13	0.63
3/29	H	Pine-Richland	7-	9	-2	-1		-1.13	-1.09
3/30	H	Knoch	15-	1	14	9	++	-1.13	4.55
4/10	H	Quaker Valley	5-	9	-4	-4		-1.13	0.18
4/12	A	Hampton Township	11-	9	2	2		1.13	0.11
4/17	A	Butler Area	8-	7	1	2		1.13	-0.66
4/19	H	Vincentian Academy	4-	6	-2	2	–	-1.13	-3.80
4/20	A	North Allegheny	3-	2	1	-1		1.13	1.52
4/24	H	Shady Side Academy	8-	10	-2	1	–	-1.13	-3.22
4/26	A	Knoch	10-	5	5	7	–	1.13	-2.18
4/27	H	Peters Township	5-	17	-12	-13		-1.13	0.92
5/01	H	Sewickley Academy	4-	13	-9	-7		-1.13	-1.57
5/03	A	Quaker Valley	3-	12	-9	-6	–	1.13	-2.55
5/07	H	Hampton Township	12-	9	3	4		-1.13	-1.16
5/11	A	Shaler Area	11-	10	1	0		1.13	1.12
5/14	A	Sewickley Academy	4-	17	-13	-10	–	1.13	-3.31
5/15	A	Vincentian Academy	10-	7	3	0	+	1.13	3.47
5/17	A	Shady Side Academy	10-	4	6	-1	+++	1.13	7.05
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/30	H	Knoch	15-	1	-4.00
4/27	H	Peters Township	5-	17	-0.92
5/14	A	Sewickley Academy	4-	17	3.00
10-goal correction: -0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	917
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.87		Natl Power Rank	917
Natl SOS Rating	59.43		Natl SOS Rank	1121
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	508
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	961
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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