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Gainesville Red Elephants (0-12)

Region: GA A6

State: GA

Coach: Karen Duncan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/26	at North Forsyth (2-12)	GA A6	59.4		L	4-	6		-0.200
3/03	ROSWELL (10-6)	GA A6	75.9		L	0-	21		0.000
3/05	at Centennial, GA (10-7)	GA A4	78.6	6	L	0-	22		0.000
3/08	KELL (10-7)	GA A7	73.1		L	0-	14		0.000
3/10	at North Cobb (7-9)	GA A8	64.1		L	3-	9		-0.125
3/19	NORTH FORSYTH (2-12)	GA A6	59.4		L	2-	5		-0.275
3/21	HOLY INNOCENTS (4-11)	GA A3	67.2		L	2-	13		-0.075
4/10	at Milton, GA (20-1)	GA A6	86.1	1	L	1-	20		0.000
4/14	at Alpharetta (4-9)	GA A4	71.5		L	2-	24		0.000
4/16	at Pope (8-7)	GA A8	71.5		L	1-	12		0.000
4/20	at South Forsyth (5-12)	GA A6	72.5		L	0-	1		0.000
4/25	at Holy Innocents (4-11)	GA A3	67.2		L	1-	13		0.000
			70.3						-0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/26	A	North Forsyth	4-	6	-2	-2		1.45	0.32
3/03	H	Roswell	0-	21	-21	-18	–	-1.45	-2.95
3/05	A	Centennial, GA	0-	22	-22	-26	+	1.45	3.91
3/08	H	Kell	0-	14	-14	-14		-1.45	-0.12
3/10	A	North Cobb	3-	9	-6	-5		1.45	-0.58
3/19	H	North Forsyth	2-	5	-3	1	–	-1.45	-3.59
3/21	H	Holy Innocents	2-	13	-11	-7	––	-1.45	-4.27
4/10	A	Milton, GA	1-	20	-19	-30	+++	1.45	11.02
4/14	A	Alpharetta	2-	24	-22	-17	––	1.45	-5.44
4/16	A	Pope	1-	12	-11	-15	++	1.45	4.08
4/25	A	Holy Innocents	1-	13	-12	-10	–	1.45	-2.37
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/03	H	Roswell	0-	21	2.95
3/05	A	Centennial, GA	0-	22	-3.91
3/08	H	Kell	0-	14	0.12
3/21	H	Holy Innocents	2-	13	1.00
4/10	A	Milton, GA	1-	20	11.02
4/14	A	Alpharetta	2-	24	5.44
4/16	A	Pope	1-	12	-4.08
4/25	A	Holy Innocents	1-	13	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.68

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	57.		Natl CCR Rank	1913
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	57.03		Natl Power Rank	1913
Natl SOS Rating	56.75		Natl SOS Rank	1362
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	1892
W-L Pct Rating	0.00		W-L Pct Rank	1893
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	0-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-20.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-15.0


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