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Gaithersburg Trojans (8-6)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Michelle Lewis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Richard Montgomery (0-8)	MD 4A	61.5		W	10-	4		0.100
3/23	WATKINS MILL (0-9)	MD 4A	62.5		W	8-	5		0.100
3/27	NORTHWOOD, MD (0-4)	MD	53.4		W	12-	0		0.000
3/29	at Sherwood, MD (12-5)	MD 4A	73.2		W	11-	10	ot	0.400
4/11	at Blake, MD (14-2)	MD 4A	75.1		L	5-	17		-0.050
4/13	DAMASCUS (6-6)	MD 4A	71.4		L	6-	9		-0.200
4/17	at Springbrook (8-5)	MD 4A	70.9		L	8-	12		-0.150
4/18	MAGRUDER (4-6)	MD 4A	67.5		L	8-	9		-0.300
4/25	at Montgomery Blair, MD (6-8)	MD 4A	66.6		W	17-	13		0.225
5/01	ROCKVILLE (10-3)	MD 2A	71.8		L	9-	12		-0.200
5/03	WHEATON (3-6)	MD 3A	59.6		W	16-	4		0.000
5/07	at Paint Branch (2-8)	MD 3A	64.1		W	14-	13	ot	0.175
5/10	at Thomas Johnson (7-6)	MD 4A	70.0		W	16-	13		0.300
5/12	at Westminster, MD (12-3)	MD 4A	85.6		L	5-	22		0.000
			70.4						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Richard Montgomery	10-	4	6	6		1.20	0.41
3/23	H	Watkins Mill	8-	5	3	6	–	-1.20	-2.52
3/27	H	Northwood, MD	12-	0	12	17	––	-1.20	-4.73
3/29	A	Sherwood, MD	11-	10	1	-6	+++	1.20	7.20
4/11	A	Blake, MD	5-	17	-12	-8	––	1.20	-4.27
4/13	H	Damascus	6-	9	-3	-2		-1.20	-0.52
4/17	A	Springbrook	8-	12	-4	-4		1.20	-0.41
4/18	H	Magruder	8-	9	-1	2	–	-1.20	-3.27
4/25	A	Montgomery Blair, MD	17-	13	4	1	+	1.20	3.03
5/01	H	Rockville	9-	12	-3	-2		-1.20	-0.69
5/03	H	Wheaton	16-	4	12	12		-1.20	0.28
5/07	A	Paint Branch	14-	13	1	3		1.20	-1.69
5/10	A	Thomas Johnson	16-	13	3	-2	++	1.20	5.32
5/12	A	Westminster, MD	5-	22	-17	-19		1.20	1.86
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Northwood, MD	12-	0	4.73
4/11	A	Blake, MD	5-	17	2.00
5/03	H	Wheaton	16-	4	-0.28
5/12	A	Westminster, MD	5-	22	-1.86
10-goal correction: 0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1276
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.30		Natl Power Rank	1276
Natl SOS Rating	56.54		Natl SOS Rank	1385
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	519
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	762
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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